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About David
A freelance political journalist, columnist, commentator and editor...

David Hutt is a political journalist based between the Czech Republic and Britain. He focuses on European foreign policy, Central European politics, and relations between Europe and Asia. He is also an expert on Southeast Asian politics, having spent five years (2014-2019) reporting on the region from Cambodia. He is currently Southeast Asia Columnist for the Diplomat, and a correspondent for the Asia Times. Before his time in Asia, he reported on Central American affairs from Nicaragua. His writing has appeared in the South China Morning Post, Nikkei Asian Review, Forbes, World Politics Review, Visegrad Insight, among other international publications. 

David is also an experienced English-language editor and proof-reader. He was editor of a business magazine, Focus Asean, and has provided editing responsibilities for international think-tanks and business consultancies. He is skilled at editing in either British or American English, and prides himself on fast turnaround.   

Also, David is regular provider of political and economic risk reports to international consultancies.
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Biden says ‘everybody must condemn sick’ shooting at Trump rally

13 Jul 2024  |  qoshe.com
Joe Biden condemned the shooting at a Trump rally, calling for universal condemnation of such acts. The incident resulted in the death of an audience member and the shooter, who was killed by the Secret Service. The article highlights the ongoing political tensions and the need for unity against violence.

Government overconfidence could cloud a brighter future for Laos

31 Mar 2024  |  Radio Free Asia
Despite high inflation and a significant national debt, Laos has reasons for optimism, including a potential return of tourism to pre-pandemic levels and increased international trade due to its ASEAN chairmanship. The country is strategically focusing on food exports to China, leveraging its young population and expanding railway connections to boost trade. However, challenges such as economic mismanagement, high emigration rates, and dependency on Chinese investment pose significant risks. The government needs to address issues like tax collection and education to capitalize on its demographic advantages and ensure sustainable growth.

Vietnam: Uncertain Future After President's Resignation

21 Mar 2024  |  www.dw.com
The sudden resignation of Vietnam's President Vo Van Thuong after just one year in office raises concerns about the stability of the country's political leadership. Thuong's resignation, attributed to violations and shortcomings, is part of a broader anti-corruption campaign that has led to the downfall of several top politicians. The campaign, led by Communist Party General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong, aims to restore socialist ethics but has also caused political instability. Thuong's resignation is linked to ongoing investigations involving the Phuc Son Group and corruption in Quang Ngai province. The Communist Party now faces the challenge of selecting a new president amid growing uncertainty and factional positioning.

Cambodians need consumer rights NGOs in an era of scams and scandals

14 Jan 2024  |  Radio Free Asia
Cambodia's civil society has been significantly weakened under the authoritarian rule of the Cambodian People's Party, which has been in power since 1979. Despite substantial foreign funding, there is a lack of consumer rights NGOs in the country. The article highlights the need for such organizations to protect consumers in an era of increasing consumption and e-commerce. It also points out the imbalance of power between consumers and businesses, exacerbated by the government's close ties with the capitalist class. Examples from other Southeast Asian countries are cited as models for Cambodia to follow. The article calls for international funding to support new consumer-rights groups, arguing that these organizations would empower citizens economically and hold businesses accountable.

Can Southeast Asia tackle its epidemic of male suicides?

12 Jan 2024  |  Radio Free Asia
Suicide has become a leading cause of death among middle-aged adults in Thailand and young people in Singapore. The region has seen a significant rise in suicide rates, particularly among males, with notable increases in countries like Thailand, Cambodia, and the Philippines. Despite some positive developments, such as the decriminalization of suicide in Malaysia and Singapore, the gender disparity in suicide rates remains a critical issue. The decline in female suicides is attributed to women's emancipation, but the empowerment of at-risk males has not seen similar progress. Addressing this crisis requires acknowledging and tackling these gender differences.

Can Southeast Asia tackle its epidemic of male suicides?

12 Jan 2024  |  Benar News
Suicide has become a leading cause of death among middle-aged adults in Thailand and young people in Singapore, with significant increases in suicide rates reported across Southeast Asia. The article highlights the gender disparity in suicide rates, with men being disproportionately affected. Positive developments include the decriminalization of suicide in Malaysia and Singapore, and increasing public discourse on mental health. However, the article stresses the need for targeted interventions to address the crisis of male suicides, which has worsened since the pandemic.

The Fate of EU and Southeast Asia Relations in 2024

02 Jan 2024  |  www.dw.com
The upcoming European Parliament elections in June 2024 could lead to significant changes in the EU's leadership, impacting its relations with Southeast Asia. The Indonesian general elections in February 2024 are also crucial, with defense minister Prabowo Subianto leading in polls. EU's new import regulations on palm oil, effective December 2024, are contentious, especially for Indonesia and Malaysia. The EU and ASEAN will address tensions over the Israel-Gaza conflict in a ministerial meeting in February. Laos, as the 2024 ASEAN chair, may influence regional dynamics, particularly regarding China. The EU continues to impose sanctions on Myanmar's military junta while providing humanitarian aid.

Southeast Asia Likes Polarization – and That’s Not a Bad Thing

01 Jan 2024  |  thediplomat.com
The article discusses the political landscape in Southeast Asia, emphasizing the region's preference for political plurality and polarization. It critiques the lack of genuine competition in elections in Indonesia and Cambodia, highlighting the dominance of a few political elites and the Cambodian People's Party. The article also reflects on the political situations in Thailand, Myanmar, and Malaysia, arguing that polarization is not inherently negative but that demonization and lack of acceptance of differing views are problematic. It underscores the importance of political competition and the dangers of monopolies in politics.

Anwar Ibrahim, Anti-Semite?

01 Jan 2024  |  thediplomat.com
Anwar Ibrahim's stance on Israel and Palestine is scrutinized, highlighting his long-standing support for the Palestinian cause and refusal to condemn Hamas. The article contrasts his actions and statements with those of his predecessor, Mahathir Mohamad, and explores whether Anwar's anti-Semitic remarks are genuine or politically motivated. It also examines his silence on other global Muslim issues and suggests that his recent statements may be driven by domestic political considerations. The complexity of the Israel-Palestine conflict and its impact on Anwar's political positioning are emphasized.

Why Cambodia’s Government Cannot Win Its Fight Against Corruption

01 Jan 2024  |  thediplomat.com
Cambodia's endemic corruption, particularly within its police and judicial systems, perpetuates a cycle of injustice and public distrust. Traffic accidents, especially hit-and-runs, are symptomatic of this broader issue, with wealthy perpetrators often escaping accountability through bribes. Despite public outcry and occasional high-level interventions, such as those by Prime Minister Hun Manet, the systemic corruption remains deeply entrenched, making meaningful reform unlikely.

Southeast Asia ties in 2024?

30 Dec 2023  |  www.dw.com
European Parliament elections in June 2024 could impact EU's engagement with Southeast Asia, with potential changes in leadership and policy direction. Indonesia's February elections are crucial, with Prabowo Subianto as the front-runner, likely to emphasize defense and assertiveness in foreign policy. EU's palm oil restrictions, effective December 2024, may strain relations with major Southeast Asian exporters. Malaysia and Indonesia oppose Israel's Gaza offensive, highlighting tensions at the upcoming EU-ASEAN Ministerial. Laos' ASEAN chairmanship and Myanmar's political crisis add to the uncertainties in 2024.

Southeast Asia’s ‘narco-state’ and ‘scam-states’ undercut authoritarian rule boasts

29 Dec 2023  |  benarnews.org
In 2023, Southeast Asia faced disorder with ongoing war in Myanmar, a surge in crime, and the reemergence of Myanmar as the world's largest opium producer. The region also grappled with the proliferation of 'scam-states,' where illegal industries may be worth as much as half the national GDPs of countries like Cambodia, Laos, and Myanmar. These developments, including the largest drug bust in Thailand and the uncovering of a massive corruption scandal in Vietnam, challenge the notion that authoritarian states ensure stability and order.

Can Southeast Asia Stop Using Coal-Fired Power Plants?

28 Dec 2023  |  www.dw.com
Indonesia and Vietnam are advancing their energy transition plans with significant financial backing from the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) and international partners. Indonesia aims to increase its renewable energy share to 44% by 2030, while Vietnam has set ambitious targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. However, challenges remain, including the reliance on loans rather than grants and the exclusion of certain coal-fired power plants from Indonesia's targets. The European Commission has praised Vietnam's efforts, but environmentalists express concerns over the sustainability of these plans.

US tensions with China are fraying long-cultivated academic ties. Will the chill hurt US interests?

23 Dec 2023  |  myemail.constantcontact.com
The decline in US-China academic collaboration, driven by heightened security concerns and policies like the China Initiative, is impacting researchers and potentially undermining US scientific competitiveness. While some argue that these measures are necessary to protect sensitive information and national security, others believe they are pushing out talent and harming scientific progress. The number of Chinese students in the US is decreasing, and collaborations are shrinking, which could weaken global efforts in areas like health research. Prominent cases, such as those of Fu Xiangdong and Gang Chen, highlight the personal and professional toll of these tensions.

Southeast Asia’s ‘narco-state’ and ‘scam-states’ undercut authoritarian rule boasts

22 Dec 2023  |  Radio Free Asia
The year 2023 has seen significant disorder in Southeast Asia, with ongoing war in Myanmar and a rise in crime and drug trafficking. The region's authoritarian regimes, including Myanmar, Cambodia, and Laos, are criticized for their inability to maintain stability and order, with some countries being labeled as 'narco-state' and 'scam-states.' The article highlights the failure of ASEAN to address political violence, the increase in opium and methamphetamine production in Myanmar, and the proliferation of scam industries in Cambodia and Laos. Corruption and political protection of criminal activities are also discussed, undermining the claims of authoritarian regimes to provide stability and prosperity.

Can Southeast Asia afford to retire its coal plants?

12 Dec 2023  |  www.dw.com
Indonesia and Vietnam are advancing their energy transition plans with significant financial backing from the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP), supported by G7 nations and private investors. Indonesia aims to increase renewable energy to 44% by 2030, while Vietnam has set targets to cap greenhouse gas emissions and coal-fired power capacity. Despite the ambitious plans, there are concerns about the reliance on loans over grants and the continued development of coal-fired power plants. The initiatives highlight the challenges and complexities of balancing sustainability goals with existing energy infrastructure and economic realities.

Corruption: In Vietnam, trust in the state is dwindling

04 Dec 2023  |  www.dw.com
A major corruption scandal in Vietnam has led to the arrest of Truong My Lan, chairwoman of Van Thinh Phat Holdings Group, for embezzling approximately 11.4 billion euros from Saigon Commercial Bank. The scandal involves a vast network of over 1000 subsidiaries and shell companies. The Ministry of Public Security has recommended prosecuting 85 individuals, including government officials and bank employees. The Communist Party's long-standing anti-corruption campaign, led by General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong, has seen numerous high-profile dismissals and arrests. The scandal has severely shaken public trust in the government and raised concerns about political stability. Experts suggest that more significant scandals and arrests are likely, with ongoing investigations into other sectors, including renewable energy and Vietnam Electricity (EVN).

Rebel Offensive in Myanmar: How is the EU Reacting?

02 Dec 2023  |  www.dw.com
Since late October, insurgent forces in Myanmar have launched an offensive against the military junta, potentially reshaping the country's political landscape. The EU has yet to change its stance on the conflict but acknowledges a possible turning point. The 'Alliance of the Three Brothers' has pressured the junta, capturing numerous outposts and cities. The EU is closely monitoring the situation, considering future actions. The National Unity Government (NUG) seeks more EU support and recognition. The EU has provided humanitarian aid and imposed sanctions on junta affiliates. Despite the ongoing conflict, the EU emphasizes the need for an inclusive dialogue involving all parties, including ethnic militias.

What’s Happening At Cambodia’s Ream Naval Base?

01 Dec 2023  |  thediplomat.com
The U.S. Defense Department's recent report shows a shift in its stance on Cambodia's Ream Naval Base, now suggesting limited Chinese access rather than a full overseas base. Leadership changes at the base, including the replacement of Adm. Ouk Seiha with Rear Adm. Mey Dina, coincide with Cambodia's political transition. The article highlights internal scandals involving military land sales and the involvement of prominent Cambodian families in military leadership. The secrecy surrounding Chinese naval visits contrasts with more transparent interactions with British and Japanese naval forces, raising concerns in Washington about potential secret deals between Phnom Penh and Beijing.

Nguyen Phu Trong Would Find An Ally In Dickens

01 Dec 2023  |  thediplomat.com
Nguyen Phu Trong, the general secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam, is likened to a Dickensian figure, advocating for moralism and anti-corruption within the party. His approach emphasizes the need for the powerful to live simple, uncorrupted lives and support the poor, reflecting a Victorian moralist perspective. The article explores the historical and ideological context of Trong's campaign, drawing parallels with the works of Charles Dickens and the thoughts of George Orwell. It suggests that Trong's efforts are sincere and rooted in the party's heritage, despite potential cynicism about their effectiveness.

Laos’ Economic Woes Will Continue In 2024

01 Dec 2023  |  thediplomat.com
Laos continues to face severe economic challenges, with high inflation, a depreciating currency, and a national debt around 120 percent of GDP. Despite government measures and reassurances, little improvement is expected in 2024. Structural issues, poor revenue collection, and reliance on imports exacerbate the crisis. The upcoming ASEAN chairmanship is unlikely to alleviate public discontent, as economic hardships persist and political pressure mounts. The article criticizes the ruling Lao People’s Revolutionary Party for its role in the crisis and questions the effectiveness of current leadership.

Malaysia, Indonesia seek allies in EU deforestation row

28 Nov 2023  |  www.bilaterals.org
Malaysia and Indonesia are rallying support from other Southeast Asian countries against the EU's upcoming Deforestation-Free Regulation, set to ban imports of certain agricultural products from deforested land starting late 2024. The regulation is seen as discriminatory by the two nations, which dominate global palm oil production, and they argue it will unduly burden small-scale farmers with bureaucratic demands. Both countries have initiated WTO complaints, and while Thailand is a significant producer of affected goods, it is unlikely to join in legal action due to ongoing free-trade talks with the EU. Instead, Southeast Asian nations are engaging in negotiations with the EU, seeking to be classified as low-risk for deforestation and to align EU demands with existing international standards.

Indonesia Seeks Allies Against EU Deforestation Rules

28 Nov 2023  |  www.dw.com
Malaysia and Indonesia are seeking support from other Southeast Asian countries in their dispute with the European Union over new deforestation regulations set to take effect at the end of 2024. These regulations will ban imports of certain agricultural products if they are linked to deforestation after December 31, 2020. Malaysia and Indonesia, major palm oil producers, argue that the rules are discriminatory and unfair to small farmers. While Thailand has shown some support, it is unlikely to join any legal action against the EU due to ongoing trade negotiations. The EU plans to enforce these rules rigorously and will discuss related initiatives at the upcoming COP28 in the UAE.

Foreign ministers wield new brooms in Cambodia and Thailand

27 Nov 2023  |  Benar News
Thailand and Cambodia have appointed new foreign ministers, Parnpree Bahiddha-Nukara and Sok Chenda Sophea, respectively, who are expected to shift their countries' foreign policies towards economic development and away from geopolitical tensions. Both ministers, who are not career diplomats, bring extensive experience in commerce and investment. Their appointments reflect a broader political change in both countries, with Thailand's first civilian government in over a decade and Cambodia's generational shift in leadership. The new ministers are likely to focus on multilateralism and trade, with their prime ministers taking a more prominent role in international diplomacy.

Asia's communist regimes are breaking their intergenerational social contracts

26 Nov 2023  |  Radio Free Asia
The article discusses how the communist regimes in China, Vietnam, and Laos are breaking their intergenerational social contracts by extending the terms of their leaders and mismanaging their economies. It highlights the economic challenges faced by the younger generations, including high national debt, youth unemployment, and inadequate social services. The article criticizes leaders like Xi Jinping and Nguyen Phu Trong for their extended terms and economic policies, which place a higher tax burden on the young and create a bleak future for these countries.

Will Germany Invest in Thailand's Megaproject?

22 Nov 2023  |  www.dw.com
Thailand's Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin is promoting a 'land bridge' megaproject aimed at creating a new trade route between the Indian and Pacific Oceans, bypassing the busy Malacca Strait. The project involves building a 90-kilometer rail and highway system connecting deep-sea ports in Chumphon and Ranong provinces. Germany, represented by Ambassador Ernst Wolfgang Reichel, has shown interest, with potential investments from companies like Siemens, Mercedes-Benz, and BMW. However, analysts believe most funding will come from China, although Thailand aims to diversify its investment sources. The project, part of the broader Eastern Economic Corridor scheme, is expected to be completed by 2040, significantly boosting Thailand's cargo handling capacity.

Land Bridge for Thailand?

22 Nov 2023  |  www.dw.com
Thai Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin is promoting a vision to build a land bridge connecting Thailand's east and west coasts, aiming to enhance international trade routes and reduce reliance on the Strait of Malacca. The project, involving 90 kilometers of highway and rail, along with two new deep-sea ports, seeks international investment, with interest from Germany and China. While German firms may focus on port development, China's Belt and Road Initiative positions it as a strong contender. Environmental and social impacts remain concerns, and the project aims for completion by 2040, potentially aligning with the EU's Global Gateway Initiative for funding.

Hamas war strains Indonesia, Malaysia ties with West

20 Nov 2023  |  www.dw.com
Resentment against Western support for Israel is growing in Indonesia and Malaysia amid the ongoing Gaza conflict. Both countries have seen significant pro-Palestinian protests and have criticized the West for perceived double standards, especially in comparison to the Ukraine conflict. Indonesian President Joko Widodo and Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim have taken strong stances, with Widodo urging the US to stop the atrocities in Gaza. The article highlights the broader implications for international relations, including the erosion of support for Ukraine and the impact on Western popularity in Southeast Asia. The EU and US face criticism for their handling of pro-Palestinian protests and environmental regulations affecting Indonesia and Malaysia's economies.

How Far the Rot of Corruption Has Spread In Vietnam

17 Nov 2023  |  flipboard.com
Nguyen Phu Trong aims to cleanse the Communist Party of corruption, questioning whether corruption is an inherent part of the system rather than an anomaly.

How Far the Rot of Corruption Has Spread In Vietnam

16 Nov 2023  |  asiatoday.co
Vietnamese National Assembly delegate Luu Binh Nhuong was detained on corruption charges, surprising many who viewed him as a vocal and principled lawmaker. This arrest is part of the Communist Party of Vietnam's (CPV) anti-corruption campaign, which has targeted thousands since 2016. The campaign, led by CPV General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong, aims to purge the party of non-ideological officials and restore socialist principles. However, the campaign may be inherently flawed, as it does not address the systemic issues of the one-party system but rather focuses on individual misconduct. Trong's efforts to reshape the CPV in his austere and ideological image may be idealistic and reactionary, potentially leading to authoritarianism. The article suggests that the CPV's approach to corruption may not be sustainable in the long term and that a more fundamental change may be necessary.

How Far the Rot of Corruption Has Spread In Vietnam

14 Nov 2023  |  thediplomat.com
Vietnamese National Assembly delegate Luu Binh Nhuong was detained on corruption charges, sparking surprise due to his reputation as a vocal defender of justice. His arrest is seen in the context of the Communist Party of Vietnam's (CPV) anti-corruption campaign, which has targeted thousands since 2016. The campaign, led by CPV general secretary Nguyen Phu Trong, aims to purge the party of non-ideological officials and restore socialist principles. However, the article suggests that the campaign may be failing to address the systemic nature of corruption inherent in the one-party system. Trong's approach is criticized as idealistic and authoritarian, with doubts about his ability to find a successor to continue his anti-corruption efforts.

ASEAN’s rotating chairmanships should be scrapped for a troika system

14 Nov 2023  |  Radio Free Asia
ASEAN's decision to implement a troika system for managing the Myanmar crisis is seen as a sensible move to ensure continuity and stability. The article advocates for extending this system to the bloc's chairmanship to enhance unity and effectiveness, especially amid geopolitical tensions involving China and the U.S. The current rotating chairmanship is criticized for putting undue pressure on less experienced member states and allowing for potential unilateral actions that could undermine ASEAN's collective goals. A troika system could distribute responsibilities, reduce burdens, and foster more consistent leadership.

Will Germany invest in Thailand's 'land bridge' project?

11 Nov 2023  |  www.dw.com
Thai Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin is actively promoting a 'land bridge' project to connect Thailand's eastern and western coasts, aiming to create a new trade route between the Indian and Pacific oceans. The project, estimated at €25.5 billion, seeks investment from various international stakeholders, including Germany. While the German ambassador to Bangkok has shown interest, analysts believe German participation will likely be limited, with most funding expected from China. Environmental and social concerns, along with geopolitical risks, pose significant challenges. The Thai government aims to balance investment between China and Western countries, potentially involving the EU's Global Gateway Initiative.

Cambodia’s Hun Manet goes up against the private sector

11 Nov 2023  |  Radio Free Asia
Cambodia's Prime Minister Hun Manet is set to meet with the private sector amid concerns over rising taxation and economic instability. The property and banking sectors are particularly troubled, with high private debt and toxic credit. Hun Manet, under pressure from his father Hun Sen and other political elites, faces the challenge of balancing the demands of the private sector with maintaining political control. The Cambodian People's Party has historically co-opted the private sector through titles and favorable policies, but increasing domestic revenue needs may lead to higher taxation. The government's strategy aims for significant economic growth, but achieving this without ceding political power remains uncertain.

Will Cambodia’s Private Debt Become National Debt?

06 Nov 2023  |  asiatoday.co
Cambodia's new prime minister, Hun Manet, faces significant challenges as the country grapples with a potential debt crisis fueled by a housing bubble and rampant speculation. The Cambodian government has been engaging with business groups to address concerns, but public anxiety over possible tax increases persists. The real estate market's downturn, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and reduced Chinese investment, has led to falling property prices and financial distress among developers and investors. The banking sector's high private sector debt and low deposit-to-loan ratio pose risks to macro-financial stability. The government has attempted to reassure the public and investors, but questions remain about how it will handle the growing private debt and whether it will intervene to prevent a broader economic collapse.

Will Cambodia’s Private Debt Become National Debt?

01 Nov 2023  |  thediplomat.com
Hun Manet, Cambodia’s new prime minister, faces significant economic challenges as he prepares to meet with the business community at the Government-Private Sector Forum. The Cambodian property market, heavily influenced by Chinese investment, is experiencing a downturn, leading to a crisis in private debt. Many property developers and investors are struggling with falling property prices and unfulfilled financial guarantees. The banking sector is also at risk, with high levels of private sector debt and non-performing loans. The Cambodian government, while maintaining a relatively low national debt, may need to consider interventions to stabilize the economy. Potential measures include allowing foreign property ownership and providing financial relief. The situation raises questions about whether private debt could eventually become national debt if the government steps in to support the struggling sectors.

In Cambodia, Foreigners Cannot Own Land. Or Can They?

01 Nov 2023  |  thediplomat.com
Prime Minister Hun Manet's government is navigating the complex issue of foreign land ownership in Cambodia. While the constitution prohibits non-Cambodians from owning land, various mechanisms like trusts and long-term leases effectively allow foreign control. The private sector, particularly the Housing Development Association, is pushing for legal changes to boost property prices and economic growth. However, such changes could be unpopular among the general populace, who fear increased foreign speculation and property prices. Hun Manet faces a delicate balance between appeasing the private sector and maintaining public support, all while ensuring economic recovery and political stability.

Myanmar’s NUG Needs To Win the Peace

01 Nov 2023  |  thediplomat.com
Myanmar's National Unity Government (NUG) faces the challenge of winning the peace post-conflict. The recent offensive by the Three Brotherhood Alliance has put significant pressure on the junta, leading to battlefield setbacks and low morale among junta troops. The NUG, despite criticisms of its command structure and control over allied ethnic armies, is seen as the only viable option for a national and federal government if the junta falls. The article discusses the complexities of forming a federal state and the need for a balanced central power to maintain national cohesion. Beijing's stance towards the junta may shift favorably towards the NUG if it can address criminal enterprises in border regions. The NUG's success in post-war governance will depend on its ability to accept its limitations and work towards a decentralized federal system.

Can Laos’ Communist Party Recover From the Current Economic Crisis?

31 Oct 2023  |  thediplomat.com
The Lao People’s Revolutionary Party (LPRP) faces a severe economic crisis, with inflation, currency depreciation, and high national debt exacerbating public discontent. The COVID-19 pandemic and external economic factors have worsened the situation, but internal mismanagement and corruption are significant contributors. The younger generation is increasingly disillusioned, leading to high emigration rates. Despite some attempts at reform, the LPRP's legitimacy is eroding, and the future may see increased repression and desperate bids for foreign investment. The lack of a political alternative and the party's historical economic achievements are its only saving graces.

Migration throws Laos’ communist government a lifeline

30 Oct 2023  |  Benar News
Laos is experiencing a significant migration crisis, with thousands of citizens leaving the country due to economic hardships, high inflation, and a collapsing currency. The communist government has been ineffective in addressing these issues, leading to increased national debt and reduced public expenditure on education and health. Migration, particularly to wealthier neighboring countries, is seen as a temporary relief for the government, preventing potential political unrest. The article highlights the economic and political challenges faced by Laos and the potential implications of continued emigration.

Migration throws Laos’ communist government a lifeline

28 Oct 2023  |  Radio Free Asia
Laos is experiencing significant emigration due to economic hardships, with many citizens seeking better opportunities abroad. The country faces severe inflation, a collapsing currency, and a high national debt, leading to increased taxation and reduced public spending on education and health. The communist government struggles to address these issues, and the exodus of young Laotians is seen as a temporary relief for the regime. The article discusses the broader implications of this migration, including the economic benefits and political stability it brings to the ruling party.

Why Germany Became a Refuge for Vietnamese Asylum Seekers?

27 Oct 2023  |  www.dw.com
Germany has become a refuge for Vietnamese asylum seekers, including prominent dissidents like Nguyen Bac Truyen and Nguyen Van Dai, who fled Vietnam's repressive regime. The German government has taken a firm stance against Vietnam's attempts to persecute dissidents abroad, providing a safer environment for activists. Over 100,000 Vietnamese live in Germany, many of whom support the Vietnamese government, but a growing number seek asylum to escape political persecution. Human rights organizations highlight the increasing risks faced by activists in Vietnam, while Germany's diplomatic warnings have helped protect asylum seekers.

Focus on Europe as the Philippines Enacts New Security Policy

20 Oct 2023  |  www.dw.com
The Philippines, under President Ferdinand Marcos Jr., is strengthening its security cooperation with the European Union, focusing on maritime security amid tensions in the South China Sea. The new National Security Strategy aims to modernize the military with European support, despite challenges in spending and system integration. EU officials emphasize the importance of information sharing, threat assessment, and coast guard capacity building. Analysts highlight potential issues with European defense companies adapting to Philippine requirements, which could impact their reputation.

Hun Manet Backs Down On Tax, but He Cannot Deny a Hike Is Coming

13 Oct 2023  |  thediplomat.com
Hun Manet, Cambodia's new prime minister, faces challenges in managing public reaction to potential tax increases. Despite initial statements suggesting no new taxes, it is evident that the government will need to raise taxation to fund ambitious economic and social development goals. Hun Sen, Manet's father and former prime minister, intervened to manage the timing of tax discussions, highlighting ongoing influence. Analysts suggest that effective tax collection and reduced corruption are essential for public trust. The article underscores the necessity of increased domestic revenue for Cambodia's development amidst limited foreign aid and concessional loans.

Hun Manet Backs Down On Tax, but He Cannot Deny a Hike Is Coming

13 Oct 2023  |  asiatoday.co
Hun Manet, Cambodia's new prime minister, faces criticism for his handling of tax policy, with his father, former prime minister Hun Sen, publicly intervening. Despite initial denials, it is evident that the government will need to increase taxation to fund ambitious economic and social development goals. The article highlights the political implications of this tax policy, the influence of Hun Sen, and the need for greater transparency and effective tax collection to reduce corruption.

Southeast Asia: Why is free speech not a priority?

10 Oct 2023  |  www.dw.com
Southeast Asian countries rank poorly in global press freedom and media rights, with governments prioritizing national 'harmony' over free speech. The Pew Research Center's report highlights that free speech and democracy are not widely embraced in the region, with significant support for limiting free speech to maintain social harmony. Press freedom rankings by organizations like Reporters Without Borders and Freedom House reflect deteriorating standards, particularly in Vietnam, Myanmar, and Thailand. The article discusses the impact of authoritarian rule and societal traditions on views of free speech, noting that younger and more educated individuals are more likely to support free speech. Differences in attitudes based on religion and country-specific laws, such as Thailand's lese-majeste laws and Singapore's hate speech laws, are also examined.

Southeast Asia: Why is free speech not a priority?

10 Oct 2023  |  www.dw.com
Southeast Asian countries rank poorly in global press freedom and media rights, with governments prioritizing national 'harmony' over free speech. The Pew Research Center's report highlights that free speech and democracy are not widely embraced in the region. Press freedom rankings by organizations like Reporters Without Borders and Freedom House show Vietnam and Myanmar among the worst globally. Public opinion in Southeast Asia often supports government restrictions on free speech to maintain social harmony, though younger and more educated individuals tend to favor free speech. The article also discusses the role of religion and government policies in shaping these views.

Germany: A hotbed of Vietnamese dissidents

10 Oct 2023  |  www.dw.com
Germany has become a refuge for Vietnamese dissidents, including high-profile figures like Nguyen Bac Truyen and Nguyen Van Dai, who have fled repression in Vietnam. The country hosts a significant Vietnamese community, many of whom support the Vietnamese state, but also a thriving activist network aiding dissidents. Diplomatic tensions between Germany and Vietnam have influenced the asylum of these dissidents, with Germany taking a tougher stance on Vietnam's human rights record. Key figures and organizations, including German politicians and human rights groups, have played crucial roles in facilitating the safe passage and integration of these dissidents.

Europe in focus as Philippines launches new security policy

10 Oct 2023  |  www.dw.com
The Philippines is enhancing its maritime security cooperation with the EU, as highlighted by Ursula von der Leyen's visit and recent defense discussions. The new National Security Strategy aims to broaden defense ties, focusing on information sharing, threat assessments, and coast guard capacity building. Relations with the EU have improved under President Marcos Jr., who is pivoting away from his predecessor's China-centric approach. Challenges include Manila's strategic spending and competition among potential defense partners. The EU's Indo-Pacific Strategy is seen as a blueprint for its increased engagement in the region.

China's Battle for Hearts and Minds

06 Oct 2023  |  washingtonmonthly.com
China's global media influence campaign, despite significant financial investment, has largely failed to win hearts and minds globally. Beijing's aggressive media strategy, including state-run outlets like CGTN and China Daily, has not effectively countered Western media influence. The U.S. and other liberal democracies are advised to invest more in independent Chinese-language programming and research into China's media influence. The article highlights the challenges and potential future improvements in China's media strategy, emphasizing the existential nature of the information arms race for liberal democracies.

Freedom of Speech Not a Priority in Southeast Asia?

04 Oct 2023  |  www.dw.com
Southeast Asian countries rank among the worst globally for press freedom and media rights, with forced closures of independent newspapers and imprisonment of activists causing tension between authoritarian governments and Western democracies. Governments in the region, including Vietnam, Laos, Indonesia, and the Philippines, prioritize national 'harmony' over freedom of speech. Reports from Pew Research Center, Reporters Without Borders, and Freedom House highlight the low press freedom rankings and public opinion favoring social harmony over free speech. The article also discusses the impact of strict laws and the role of religion in shaping these views.

Vietnam president's downfall stokes political turmoil fears

04 Oct 2023  |  qoshe.com
President Vo Van Thuong's abrupt resignation after just a year in office highlights increasing political instability in Vietnam's one-party Communist system. His resignation, approved by the Vietnamese Communist Party's Central Committee and the country's parliament, is linked to ongoing corruption investigations involving the real estate firm Phuc Son Group. This marks the second presidential resignation in two years amid a massive anti-corruption crackdown that has also led to the dismissal of other top politicians. The Politburo has been reduced to its smallest size in recent history, reflecting the extent of the political upheaval.

Why Southeast Asia Does Not Prioritize Freedom of Expression

02 Oct 2023  |  www.dw.com
Southeast Asian countries rank among the worst globally for press freedom and media rights, with forced closures of independent newspapers and imprisonment of activists causing tension between autocratic governments and Western democracies. Governments in the region, ranging from communist states like Vietnam and Laos to emerging democracies like Indonesia and the Philippines, argue that severe restrictions on freedom of expression are necessary to maintain national harmony, a view supported by many citizens. The Pew Research Center's report highlights that freedom of expression and democracy are not widely accepted in the region, with most citizens prioritizing social harmony over free speech. Rankings by Reporters Without Borders and Freedom House reflect these findings, showing poor performance in press and internet freedom. The report also notes generational and educational differences in attitudes towards free speech, with younger and more educated individuals more likely to support it. Governments justify their restrictive laws as necessary for national identity and peace, but critics argue these laws perpetuate majority dominance and stifle minority voices.

In Hun Manet’s Cambodia, It Is the Perception of Change That Matters

01 Oct 2023  |  thediplomat.com
Hun Manet's rise to Cambodia's prime ministerial position is seen as a continuation of his father Hun Sen's oppressive rule, with no significant policy changes despite the generational leadership shift within the Cambodian People’s Party. Critics argue that the transition is merely cosmetic, maintaining the status quo for international allies like China while offering a false sense of change to Western observers. Hun Manet's leadership is characterized as lacking individuality, being deeply embedded in the system created by his father, and not indicative of any genuine reformist intent. The article suggests that any change in Cambodia will likely result from economic or political pressures rather than the will of its new leader.

Why more and more Southeast Asians want to learn German

01 Oct 2023  |  www.dw.com
Interest in learning German is surging in Southeast Asia, particularly in Vietnam, driven by job prospects and educational opportunities in Germany. The Goethe-Institut in Ho Chi Minh City has seen a significant increase in German-language exams. Germany's new Immigration Act for Skilled Workers and labor shortages in sectors like nursing are key motivators. Singapore's Education Ministry has also introduced German as a third language in schools. The German Academic Exchange Service reports a record number of international students in Germany, with many Southeast Asians aiming for higher proficiency in German to improve their chances of success in the country.

Europe and Myanmar’s Ethnic Armed Organisations (EAOs)

01 Oct 2023  |  europeinseasia.substack.com
The article explores Europe's engagement with Myanmar's Ethnic Armed Organisations (EAOs) amid the ongoing conflict. It highlights the complexity of the situation, noting that while some EAOs support the National Unity Government (NUG) and its democratic aspirations, others are more ambivalent. The European Union (EU) maintains regular contact with many EAOs, promoting peace and human rights, though it avoids supporting their military activities. The EU's engagement is often channeled through the NUG, aiming for a coordinated approach to Myanmar's democratic movement. The article underscores the need for further research into this opaque issue.

Southeast Asia Seems Caught In A Historical past Entice – Evaluation

01 Oct 2023  |  PressNewsAgency
Southeast Asia, once thought to have resolved its historical conflicts by the late 1990s, finds itself trapped by unresolved issues, particularly in Myanmar. The 2021 military coup in Myanmar highlighted the region's lingering pre-Cold War conflicts. The National Unity Government proposes a revolutionary federal state to address these issues, while the military junta continues to delay solutions. ASEAN's acceptance of Myanmar in 1997 institutionalized these conflicts, and the region's leaders are criticized for their nostalgic view of the post-Cold War era. The text argues that Southeast Asia must confront its historical reckoning to progress.

EU Palm Oil Initiative 'Tamed' by China

27 Sep 2023  |  www.dw.com
The EU's palm oil policy, seen as protectionist by Indonesia and Malaysia, has led these countries to seek alternative markets, resulting in a $3.9 billion business deal between Malaysia and China. This includes a distribution center in Qinzhou, China, and aims to double Malaysia's palm oil exports to China. The EU's environmental policy is criticized for benefiting European farmers while Southeast Asian countries become more reliant on China. Despite EU efforts to mitigate tensions, the policy shift has significant economic and geopolitical implications.

What to do about ‘freedom from speech?’

24 Sep 2023  |  Radio Free Asia
A Pew Research Centre survey reveals a significant preference for social harmony over free speech in Southeast Asia, with majorities in Cambodia, Indonesia, and Singapore favoring harmony. The article argues that the suppression of free speech is not only a governmental issue but also a societal one, with neighbors and communities often supporting censorship. It highlights the dangers of this mindset, using examples from Malaysia and Cambodia to illustrate how threats and violence are used to maintain the status quo. The text criticizes the enforcement of majority will over minorities and underscores the universal desire for 'freedom from speech,' linking it to totalitarian and religious ideologies.

What to do about ‘freedom from speech?’

24 Sep 2023  |  Benar News
A Pew Research Center survey reveals a significant preference for social harmony over free speech in Southeast Asia, with majorities in Cambodia, Indonesia, and Singapore favoring harmony. The article argues that the threat to free speech comes not only from authoritarian governments but also from societal norms and pressures. It highlights instances where censorship is used to protect the majority's interests, often at the expense of minorities, and criticizes the enforcement of such norms by political and religious leaders. The text underscores the universal desire for 'freedom from speech' and the dangers it poses to democratic values.

Is There Any Southeast Asian Autocrat That the US Won’t Do Business With?

18 Sep 2023  |  thediplomat.com
The article critiques the United States for its perceived hypocrisy in dealing with autocratic leaders in Southeast Asia, despite its proclaimed commitment to democracy. It highlights the complexities and double standards in US foreign policy, particularly in its relations with Vietnam, Cambodia, Indonesia, and Myanmar. The piece argues that while some level of hypocrisy is inevitable in statecraft, the US should strive to be as least hypocritical as possible and maintain self-awareness of its actions.

ASEAN Gives Laos a Reprieve Over Myanmar Crisis

14 Sep 2023  |  asiatoday.co
The ASEAN summit in Jakarta saw a significant development regarding the Myanmar crisis, with the introduction of a 'troika' system involving Indonesia, Laos, and Malaysia to manage the bloc's response. This move alleviates Laos from bearing the primary responsibility for the crisis, given its limited diplomatic capacity and controversial stance. The article highlights concerns about Laos' ability to handle the situation and the broader implications for ASEAN's unity and effectiveness. The troika system is seen as a pragmatic approach to prevent further deterioration of the crisis, though it acknowledges that significant progress is unlikely in the near term.

Cambodia’s Thin-Skinned Princelings Are Forcing Newspapers Out Of The Country. It Isn’t All Bad.

14 Sep 2023  |  thediplomat.com
The Cambodian government, under the leadership of Hun Manet and his cohort, continues to suppress independent journalism and free speech, exemplified by threats against CambojaNews and the closure of Voice of Democracy. Despite these challenges, some media outlets are finding ways to continue their work from abroad, such as VOD's planned relaunch from Tacoma, Washington. The article criticizes the Cambodian People's Party for its bullying tactics and suggests that moving media operations overseas could provide a safer environment for journalists. The piece also highlights the importance of VPNs for accessing blocked content and the potential role of foreign governments in supporting free speech initiatives in Cambodia.

Vietnamese Car Manufacturer VinFast's Ambition to Enter the European Market

12 Sep 2023  |  www.dw.com
Vietnamese electric car manufacturer VinFast faces significant challenges in entering the European market due to complex environmental regulations and stiff competition from Chinese brands. Despite operating showrooms in Germany, France, and the Netherlands, and planning to launch its VF 8 model by the end of 2023, experts argue that VinFast's ambitions may be premature given its limited market share and technical issues in Vietnam. The company is also criticized for not leveraging established local dealerships in Europe. VinFast remains committed to its European expansion, recently partnering with Fixico and E.ON Drive to enhance its post-sale ecosystem.

EU's Myanmar stance questioned after H&M, Zara exit

09 Sep 2023  |  www.dw.com
European fashion brands H&M and Inditex, owner of Zara, have decided to stop sourcing goods from Myanmar due to labor rights violations, raising questions about the European Union's stance. Despite the EU's sanctions on Myanmar's junta, it has not cut the country off from its trade scheme, arguing that doing so would lead to significant job losses. The National Unity Government, claiming to be Myanmar's legitimate government, has called for responsible investment to ensure labor rights. The EU is assessing the human and labor rights situation in Myanmar, with a report expected soon. The departure of these brands highlights the challenges of conducting business in Myanmar amid ongoing conflict and worker abuse.

EU's Myanmar stance questioned after H&M, Zara exit

09 Sep 2023  |  www.dw.com
The decision by H&M and Inditex to stop sourcing goods from Myanmar due to labor rights violations has sparked debate over the European Union's stance on trade with the conflict-torn country. Despite multiple sanctions on Myanmar's junta, the EU maintains that cutting off trade would harm workers more than the regime. The National Unity Government, claiming to be Myanmar's legitimate government, has called for responsible investment rather than a complete withdrawal. The EU is currently assessing the situation, with potential policy changes pending further investigations.

Malaysia: Is boosting palm oil flow to China defeat for EU?

09 Sep 2023  |  www.dw.com
The European Union's plan to phase out palm-oil-based biofuel imports by 2030 and new deforestation legislation have prompted Malaysia and Indonesia to boost palm oil exports to China. Malaysia's state-owned Sime Darby Oils International and China's Guangxi Beibu Gulf International Port Group signed a significant investment deal, with Malaysia aiming to double its palm oil exports to China. Experts suggest that the EU's environmental policies may inadvertently benefit China and harm Southeast Asian producers. Despite the EU's efforts to maintain dialogue and explain its initiatives, the shift towards China could mitigate some negative sentiments against the EU.

Is Vietnam's electric car maker VinFast hitting the brakes in Europe?

07 Sep 2023  |  dw.com
VinFast, a Vietnamese electric car maker, is reportedly slowing its European expansion due to regulatory complexities and increasing competition, particularly from Chinese manufacturers. Despite opening showrooms in Germany and expanding in the Netherlands and France, VinFast has faced setbacks, including withdrawing from the IAA Mobility show and delaying the launch of its VF 8 and VF 9 SUVs in Europe. The company has been criticized for its rapid expansion without establishing a strong market presence in Vietnam and for opting to build its own sales network in Europe. VinFast maintains that Europe is a key market and is working towards launching the VF 8 by late 2023, having recently completed compliance checks with the European Whole Vehicle Type-Approval System. However, the company faces stiff competition from Chinese electric vehicle giant BYD, which has already presented six models for the European market and surpassed its 2022 overseas sales figures.

Singapore and the Death Penalty

29 Aug 2023  |  podcasts.apple.com
Singapore has maintained the death penalty since its colonial days, intensifying its use during the global 'War on Drugs' in the 1970s. Recently, the country resumed executions after a COVID-19 hiatus, with a significant number of individuals currently on death row. Kirsten Han, a notable journalist and abolitionist, discusses the historical and contemporary implications of capital punishment in Singapore, reflecting on public opinion and potential shifts in Asia's stance on the death penalty.

New Government in Cambodia: What Does It Mean for the EU?

22 Aug 2023  |  www.dw.com
Cambodia's long-time ruler Hun Sen announced his resignation in July 2023, succeeded by his son Hun Manet. The EU, critical of Cambodia's weakening democracy since 2017, is closely watching the transition. The EU imposed trade sanctions in 2020 due to democratic backsliding, affecting a quarter of Cambodia's exports. Relations improved slightly when Cambodia chaired ASEAN, but domestic repression has clouded the outlook. The EU Parliament called for tougher sanctions, but targeted measures are unlikely. France has improved ties with Cambodia, and the EU may adopt a wait-and-see approach, expecting concessions from the new government. Hun Manet's rise, along with other politicians' sons, could signal changes, but experts doubt significant opposition will be allowed. The EU is considering a new strategy focusing on corruption, seeking influence amid US-China competition. The effectiveness of the EU's approach may become clearer at the 12th EU-Cambodia Joint Committee meeting in Brussels later this year.

New Government in Cambodia: What Does It Mean for the EU?

22 Aug 2023  |  www.dw.com
Hun Sen, Cambodia's long-time ruler, announced his resignation in July 2023, passing power to his son, Hun Manet. The EU has been critical of Cambodia's democratic backsliding, imposing sanctions and observing the political transition closely. Despite some improvements in relations, the EU remains cautious, focusing on potential anti-corruption measures and waiting to see if the new government will make concessions, such as releasing opposition leader Kem Sokha. The generational shift in Cambodian politics raises questions about future reforms and the country's alignment with Western or Chinese interests.

Will Cambodia's new government improve EU ties?

16 Aug 2023  |  www.dw.com
With Hun Manet taking over as Cambodia's new prime minister, the European Union is adopting a wait-and-see approach to assess potential improvements in relations. The EU has been critical of Cambodia's democratic deterioration, reinstating tariffs on exports and considering further punitive measures. However, targeted sanctions are unlikely due to opposition from some EU member states. The new administration, led by Hun Manet, faces challenges including internal patronage and corruption, and maintaining relations with China. Analysts suggest potential for improved EU relations, contingent on concrete concessions such as the release of opposition leader Kem Sokha.

Why ‘ironclad friend’ Cambodia might just be China’s model ally

10 Jul 2023  |  South China Morning Post
Cambodia stands out as a stable and beneficial ally for China amidst the domestic troubles faced by other Chinese partners. The relationship is transactional, lacking ideological ties, which could be advantageous for regional cooperation. Cambodia's manageable national debt, profitable trade with the West, and stable dictatorial government make it an attractive partner for China. However, Cambodia's diversified relations, including increased trade with the US and Vietnam, suggest it could pivot away from China if necessary. The article also touches on the potential for a peaceful power transfer from Prime Minister Hun Sen to his son, Hun Manet.

Will the EU support Thailand's new humanitarian corridor to Myanmar and the military's 'return to the barracks'?

27 Mar 2023  |  europeinseasia.substack.com
Thailand's first shipment of humanitarian aid to Myanmar has sparked controversy, with critics arguing it benefits areas under military control. The EU's support remains unclear, with no public statement confirming financial aid. EU's special envoy on Myanmar, Igor Driesmans, discussed the situation with Thai officials. European Parliament's Heidi Hautala called for Myanmar's military to return to the barracks, a stance not widely shared by Burmese fighters. The UK's David Cameron discussed Myanmar during his visit to Thailand, focusing mainly on trade. China is reportedly selling cheap EVs to Myanmar, impacting European manufacturers. The UK offers scholarships to Myanmar's women, though bureaucratic challenges persist. The NUG announced a new local administration plan, while the junta plans elections amid ongoing conflict. The EU has imposed multiple sanctions on Myanmar's junta, with potential for more. Georg Bauer, a PhD candidate, critiques the EU's sanctions policy, advocating for more direct support to Myanmar's resistance.

Vietnam president's downfall stokes political turmoil fears

03 Mar 2023  |  www.dw.com
Vietnam's political landscape is experiencing significant turmoil following the abrupt resignation of President Vo Van Thuong, the shortest-serving president in the country's history. His resignation, attributed to corruption allegations linked to the Phuc Son Group, marks the second presidential resignation in two years amid a sweeping anti-corruption campaign. This campaign, led by Communist Party General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong, has destabilized the traditional norms of Vietnam's one-party system, leading to increased political instability. The article explores the potential successors to Thuong and the implications for the upcoming National Congress in 2026, where Trong is expected to step down.

Southeast Asia appears stuck in a history trap

22 Dec 2022  |  Radio Free Asia
By the late 1990s, Southeast Asia had largely freed itself from colonialism and appeared to have settled national borders and governance issues. However, the 2021 military coup in Myanmar highlighted unresolved pre-Cold War elements, particularly the question of self-determination for Myanmar's ethnic minorities. The National Unity Government proposes a revolutionary federal state, while the military junta offers devolution based on central authority. ASEAN's approach to Myanmar's crisis is criticized for attempting to return to a past status quo and failing to recognize the need for a historical reckoning. Additionally, Southeast Asia's leaders are seen as trapped in nostalgia for the post-Cold War era's stability and prosperity, which is now over, leaving the region in an unstable and unpredictable world.

How China Is Dividing Britain’s Tories

08 Jul 2020  |  Foreign Policy
The article explores the growing divide within Britain's Conservative Party over its relationship with China. Initially, the UK under Conservative leadership welcomed Chinese investment, becoming the largest recipient in Europe. However, recent shifts have seen the Tories adopt a more critical stance towards Beijing, driven by issues such as the COVID-19 pandemic, 5G technology, and Hong Kong's autonomy. This has led to internal party conflicts, with some members advocating for continued economic ties with China, while others push for a more confrontational approach. The article highlights the broader geopolitical implications, including pressures from the United States and potential economic repercussions for the UK.

No, China Has Not Bought Central and Eastern Europe

27 May 2020  |  Foreign Policy
The article challenges the narrative that China has economically dominated Central and Eastern Europe, arguing that the region is less dependent on China compared to Western Europe. It highlights that most Chinese investments in Europe go to wealthier Western countries, while Central and Eastern Europe receive minimal investment. The article also discusses the symbolic gestures of pro-Beijing leaders in the region and contrasts them with the more institutionalized relations between Western Europe and China. It concludes that focusing on Central and Eastern Europe distracts from the broader issue of Western Europe's economic dependency on China, which undermines the EU's ability to form a unified policy towards China.

The Coronavirus Loosens Lips in Hanoi

15 Apr 2020  |  Foreign Policy
Vietnam's Communist Party has gained significant domestic and international praise for its transparent and proactive response to the coronavirus pandemic, a stark contrast to its historically secretive nature. The government's swift actions, including early travel restrictions, nationwide shutdowns, and extensive testing, have resulted in relatively low infection rates. This crisis has provided the Communist Party with an opportunity to regain public trust, which had been eroded by past controversies and economic challenges. However, the party's future legitimacy will be tested by the economic fallout from the pandemic and internal political dynamics, particularly the upcoming leadership changes at the 13th National Congress. The article highlights the need for technocratic leadership to navigate the economic and geopolitical challenges ahead.

Cambodia’s Leaders Line Up a Coronavirus Scapegoat

27 Mar 2020  |  Foreign Policy
The article critiques the Cambodian government's handling of the COVID-19 crisis, focusing on Prime Minister Hun Sen's decisions and the Ministry of Health's response. It highlights the Khmer Times' unusual criticism of the health ministry, suggesting that Health Minister Mam Bunheng is being set up as a scapegoat. The article also discusses Cambodia's economic downturn, the government's delayed response, and Hun Sen's efforts to maintain good relations with China. It draws parallels with Chinese propaganda tactics and suggests that Hun Sen's actions are more about political maneuvering than public health.

Cambodia’s Hun Sen has ruled for 35 years – is he looking to shore up his dynasty?

14 Jan 2020  |  South China Morning Post
Hun Sen, Cambodia's Prime Minister, has maintained power for over three decades and is speculated to be preparing for a dynastic succession. His rule has been characterized by political maneuvering and suppression of opposition, particularly the Cambodia National Rescue Party. Despite economic growth, his government faces potential sanctions from the European Union and relies on support from China. Hun Sen's eldest son, Hun Manet, is being positioned for leadership, raising questions about the future of governance in Cambodia.

China influence aggravates Czech Republic's political war

05 Jan 2020  |  Nikkei Asia
In the Czech Republic, the political landscape is experiencing a divide due to deepening relations with China. This divide was highlighted by a recent incident at Charles University in Prague, one of the oldest universities in Europe. The university was compelled to shut down its Czech-Chinese Center after it was discovered that staff members had not disclosed receiving payments from the Chinese embassy. This event is part of a broader series of political disagreements that have surfaced among Czech political parties.

Fear of no-deal Brexit leaves Japanese firms considering a UK exit

03 Aug 2019  |  South China Morning Post
The article discusses the concerns of Japanese companies in the UK over the potential impact of a no-deal Brexit. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and other officials have expressed their worries about the UK leaving the EU without a deal, which would affect Japanese investments made in the UK since the 1980s. Japanese carmakers like Nissan, Toyota, and Honda, which have significant manufacturing operations in the UK, could face new tariffs and customs checks. The article also mentions the relocation of Japanese companies' operations and headquarters from the UK to other European countries, such as Sony and Panasonic moving to the Netherlands. Financial institutions like Norinchukin Bank are also preparing for Brexit by setting up subsidiaries in EU countries. Despite the risks, some Japanese firms are still planning to expand their business in the UK, while others are making contingency plans for a no-deal scenario.

Cambodia is drowning in debt

27 Jun 2019  |  Southeast Asia Globe
The article discusses the growing concern over Cambodia's increasing dependency on credit, with outstanding loans from the banking and microfinance sectors surpassing 100 percent of GDP. The National Bank of Cambodia has raised alarms about the destabilizing effects of rising individual debt. The rapid growth of domestic credit, especially in real estate, is highlighted as a potential risk, with a significant portion of investment coming from China. The article also touches on the government's intervention in capping microfinance loan interest rates and the socioeconomic impact of over-indebtedness on the poorer segments of the population. It warns of the potential for a financial crash, similar to an earthquake, where the timing is unpredictable but the fault lines, such as over-reliance on foreign investment and speculative real estate activities, are evident. The article concludes by emphasizing the vulnerability of Cambodia's financial sector to external economic forces and the stark divide between the wealthy and the indebted poor.

Cambodia at the center of a new Cold War

15 Nov 2018  |  Asia Times
The article discusses China's strategic interest in establishing a naval base in Cambodia, specifically in the Koh Kong province, which could potentially serve as a deep-water port for Chinese naval vessels. The development, led by Tianjin Union Development Group (UDG), is officially a tourism project but has raised concerns due to its potential dual-use capabilities. The US, particularly through Vice President Mike Pence, is expected to address the issue in upcoming Asean and Apec summits. The article highlights Cambodia's growing dependence on China for loans, aid, and military cooperation, which has led to strained relations with the US and the EU, especially after Cambodia's controversial general election. The potential Chinese naval base could alter regional strategic dynamics, impact Vietnam's defense planning, and contribute to China's goal of protecting its maritime trade routes, particularly in light of the so-called 'Malacca dilemma'. The article also touches on the implications of Chinese investment in Cambodia and the possible geopolitical shifts in Southeast Asia.

The son rises in Cambodia after Hun Sen’s rigged election

05 Aug 2018  |  South China Morning Post
Hun Sen's victory in Cambodia's heavily rigged election solidifies the ruling Cambodian People's Party's dominance and paves the way for increased military influence in politics. The opposition Cambodia National Rescue Party was dissolved, and its leader, Kem Sokha, remains detained. Several senior military officials ran for parliament, indicating a further militarization of Cambodian politics. The US House of Representatives passed the Cambodia Democracy Act, potentially sanctioning Cambodian officials. Hun Sen's son, Hun Manet, is positioned as a likely successor, controlling significant military forces.

Cambodian election: what chance does the opposition have?

25 Jul 2018  |  South China Morning Post
The Cambodian election sees the long-ruling Cambodian People's Party (CPP) expected to secure another victory, despite the participation of 19 minor political parties. The main opposition, Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP), is absent due to its dissolution and the arrest of its leader, Kem Sokha. Smaller parties like the Grassroots Democratic Party and Khmer Will Party are vying for seats but face significant challenges. Analysts suggest the CPP's dominance will continue, with the CNRP calling for international pressure and protests. The election's outcome will shape the future of oppositional politics in Cambodia.

Trump’s Vietnam Syndrome: Lobbyists, the Pentagon, and the US Presidency

04 May 2018  |  Asia Times
The article discusses the legal and lobbying connections between the Trump administration and Viettel Group, a Vietnamese military-run telecoms provider. McDermott Will & Emery, a Washington-based law firm, and Dowell Pham Harrison were hired by Viettel to promote defense ties between Vietnam and the US. Stephen Ryan, a partner at McDermott Will & Emery, is also the personal lawyer for Michael Cohen, Trump's personal attorney, who is accused of various financial crimes. Jeff Miller, another associate at the firm, is expected to be named as Trump’s next Secretary of the Department of Veterans Affairs. The article raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and ethical issues due to the overlapping roles and relationships. It also touches on the broader implications for US-Vietnam relations, defense trade, and human rights concerns related to Viettel's operations.

Why Russia Won't Choose Sides Between China And India

16 Nov 2017  |  Forbes
The article explores Russia's strategic neutrality between China and India amidst their border tensions, highlighting Moscow's efforts to balance relations with both nations. It discusses Russia's historical ties with India, its support for India's international aspirations, and its cautious approach to China's growing influence. The piece also examines the geopolitical implications of Russia's actions, including its involvement in international organizations and its balancing act between Western sanctions and closer ties with China.

The 'Indo-Pacific' Vision: Room For Britain And France?

14 Nov 2017  |  Forbes
The article discusses the shift in terminology from 'Asia-Pacific' to 'Indo-Pacific' by the Trump administration, highlighting the strategic importance of the region and the potential inclusion of Britain and France in the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue. It explores the historical context, current geopolitical dynamics, and the positions of key stakeholders like Japan, the UK, and France. The article also examines the economic and political implications of taking an anti-China stance, especially in light of Brexit and France's trade relations with China.

Why The Catalonia Independence Crisis Matters In Beijing

09 Nov 2017  |  Forbes
Communist Party leaders in Beijing are closely monitoring the Catalonia independence crisis, viewing it as a potential threat to national and ethnic unity, similar to their concerns over Tibet and Xinjiang. China's interest in the situation is driven by both geopolitical and economic factors, including the stability of the European Union, which is a significant trading partner, and substantial Chinese investments in Spain, particularly in Catalonia. The Chinese government has expressed support for Spain's efforts to maintain national unity, reflecting its broader stance against separatism. The crisis also highlights China's strategic interests in maintaining a stable and prosperous EU, which aligns with its global ambitions.

Vladimir Putin Is Also Heading To Vietnam, But With Little To Offer

05 Nov 2017  |  Forbes
World leaders, including Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump, and Xi Jinping, are attending the APEC summit in Danang, Vietnam. Despite historic ties, Russia's influence in Southeast Asia is waning, with Vietnam now one of America's closest allies in the region. Russia and Vietnam aim to increase bilateral trade, but face competition from the US and other Eurasian nations. Russia's involvement in Vietnam's energy and munitions industries is significant, but its non-interference stance on the South China Sea issue shows a reluctance to engage deeply in Southeast Asian affairs.

Why The EU Is Dallying Over Possible Cambodia Sanctions

03 Nov 2017  |  Forbes
A delegation of European Union parliamentarians, led by Werner Langen, visited Cambodia and warned of potential implications for development assistance and trade preferences due to the country's deteriorating political situation. The Cambodian government is accused of assaulting democracy, with the opposition CNRP facing dissolution and its leader Kem Sokha arrested for treason. The EU is considering sanctions, including removing tariff-free trade or imposing targeted sanctions on government officials. However, the effectiveness of such sanctions is debated, with Cambodia less reliant on Western aid due to Chinese investment. The EU's response is still pending, as is America's, with the situation in Cambodia being compared to other Southeast Asian nations.

Why China's Think Tanks Are Captivated By Europe

29 Sep 2017  |  Forbes
China's first think tank in Europe, the China-CEE Institute, opened in Budapest, reflecting China's growing interest in Europe. With 435 think tanks, China has the second-highest number globally, and their quality is improving. The European Union is China's largest trading partner, but issues like trade deficits and technology acquisitions create tensions. Chinese think tanks aim to understand European policy-makers and influence Beijing's policies. President Xi Jinping has called for more foreign-educated intellectuals to join the Communist Party, despite travel restrictions. The internationalization of Chinese think tanks also serves to enhance China's soft power globally.

Is Russia Really As Conciliatory As It Seems On The North Korean Crisis?

28 Sep 2017  |  Forbes
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov advocates for de-escalation and dialogue in the North Korean missile crisis, emphasizing the need to calm tensions. Russia, with economic and regional interests in Northeast Asia, supports multilateral talks involving key regional players. Despite domestic economic challenges and concerns over potential North Korean refugees, Russia opposes unilateral solutions and military escalation. Moscow's stance aligns with China's, particularly in opposing the U.S. THAAD missile defense system in South Korea, which they view as a strategic threat. Russia's recent military exercises and opposition to Western actions reflect its broader geopolitical strategy to balance U.S. influence.

China's Relationship With Hungary Is Being Tested As The EU And Russia Apply Pressure

05 Sep 2017  |  Forbes
Hungary's relationship with China, once a cornerstone of Central and Eastern European economic ties, is facing challenges due to EU regulations and geopolitical shifts. Despite significant Chinese investments and initiatives like the One Belt, One Road (OBOR) and the Belgrade-Budapest railway, Hungary remains economically dependent on its European neighbors. Political dynamics, including Hungary's anti-immigration stance and autocratic tendencies, have further complicated its position within the EU, even as China seeks closer ties with the bloc.

Britain Must Now Compete Directly Against The EU In Asian FTA Negotiations

01 Sep 2017  |  Forbes
British Prime Minister Theresa May's visit to Japan underscores the challenges the UK faces in negotiating new free trade agreements post-Brexit. The UK cannot formally enter trade talks until it leaves the EU, and many Asia-Pacific nations prefer to finalize their deals with the EU first. The 'cut and paste' approach to trade agreements, suggested by May, is criticized for its complexity and potential inefficacy. The UK's smaller economic size compared to the EU means it may face tougher negotiations and fewer concessions from countries like South Korea and Japan. Political considerations, including potential backlash from domestic industries and upcoming elections, further complicate the UK's trade strategy.

More Information On Alleged Kidnapping In Berlin Continues To Strain German-Vietnam Relations

23 Aug 2017  |  Forbes
The alleged kidnapping of Trinh Xuan Thanh in Berlin has significantly strained relations between Germany and Vietnam. Germany accuses Vietnam of abducting Thanh, who was seeking asylum, while Vietnam claims he returned voluntarily. The incident has led to diplomatic talks and potential repercussions, including impacts on the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement. German officials have expressed concerns about the bilateral relationship and potential effects on German investments in Vietnam. Meanwhile, Vietnam's government is reportedly using the situation to conduct a broader political purge under the guise of an anti-corruption campaign.

British Publisher Refuses China's Censorship Demands, But Academia Still Likely To Suffer

22 Aug 2017  |  Forbes
Cambridge University Press initially agreed to remove over 300 articles from its China Quarterly journal following pressure from Beijing, which threatened to block the site. However, after global backlash and threats of a boycott, the publisher reversed its decision, making the articles freely available. This incident highlights the increasing censorship in China under President Xi Jinping, who has emphasized nationalism and control over intellectual discourse. The situation underscores the challenges faced by academics in China, where censorship limits access to international research and stifles open debate.

New 'Global Britain' Aims To Become More Relevant, And Hawkish, In Asia-Pacific

21 Aug 2017  |  Forbes
Prime Minister Theresa May's vision of a 'global Britain' post-Brexit is beginning to take shape, with a focus on strengthening economic and strategic ties in the Asia-Pacific region. Key figures like David Davis and Liam Fox are actively pursuing new trade deals, while Boris Johnson's controversial statements about deploying aircraft carriers to the South China Sea have drawn criticism from China. The UK is also considering free trade agreements with ASEAN and individual countries, despite concerns from allies like Japan. The British government aims to balance economic interests and military commitments in the region, reflecting a more hawkish stance.
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