DM
David Maddox
Politik · United Kingdom
Themenschwerpunkte
Politics & Government
Breaking News & General Assignment
International Affairs
Business & Economy
Social Issues & Demographics
Conflict & Security
Gesehen in
Veröffentlichte Arbeiten
The Independent
Jul 2026
Mayors allowed to keep share of taxes collected in their area as part of Burnham’s devolution revolution
The government plans to let English mayors retain a share of income tax and business rates collected in their areas, linking local revenues to economic growth while maintaining an equalisation system for poorer regions. The reforms are intended to give local leaders more resources for public transport, housing, skills and job creation, although mayors will not gain direct power to raise income tax. Further details are expected in an autumn devolution white paper and Budget. Existing and planned mayoral regions, including Greater Manchester, Liverpool City Region, South Yorkshire, Greater Essex and Hampshire and the Solent, are expected to be affected.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Collapse in Nigel Farage’s approval rating could spell the end for the Reform revolution
Nigel Farage’s approval rating has fallen sharply to -32, raising doubts about whether Reform UK can sustain its challenge to become Britain’s next governing party. The party’s dependence on Farage, weak candidate-selection process and lack of a coherent policy platform have become increasingly exposed as Labour regains the polling lead under Andy Burnham and the Conservatives improve under Kemi Badenoch. Reform allies argue that the decline was predictable and temporary, but strategists fear that if Farage is no longer a political asset or Reform is no longer the dominant party on the right, voters may return to the Conservatives or move further right to Rupert Lowe’s Restore Britain.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Nigel Farage plummets to lowest approval level since election in new poll
Nigel Farage’s approval rating has fallen to -32 in More in Common polling, its lowest level since at least the 2024 general election, while Ipsos also records a substantial year-on-year decline. The findings suggest some previous Reform UK supporters may be wavering, and Labour has recently overtaken Reform in voting-intention polling. Andy Burnham has recorded comparatively strong approval and is preferred over Farage as the leader of a party that could win an election. Analysts attribute Farage’s decline variously to controversies over undeclared gifts and donations, his absence from television during the Clacton by-election, and Burnham’s success in dominating the news agenda, while cautioning that Farage remains an important asset among Reform supporters.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Farage’s approval rating flops as new PM Burnham surges in popularity
A More in Common poll finds Nigel Farage’s approval rating at a post-election low of -32 percent, while new prime minister Andy Burnham reaches +19 percent. Reform UK’s support has fallen to 24 percent, behind Labour on 28 percent for the first time in more than a year, with the Conservatives on 22 percent. Farage’s decline is linked to negative coverage involving alleged undeclared gifts and benefits, while analysts attribute Burnham’s rise to strong media exposure and popular consumer-focused policies.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham wants social care reform to be his legacy – but for him, this is personal
Andy Burnham is making social care reform a central political priority, driven partly by his father’s Alzheimer’s disease and his family’s experience of the unequal care system. The piece recalls his unsuccessful 2009 attempt to build a cross-party funding agreement, which was attacked by Andrew Lansley as a “death tax” and contributed to the issue becoming politically toxic. With numerous reform efforts having failed since 1997, Burnham is urging Labour, the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats to abandon political point-scoring and work together, warning that the NHS faces further collapse if the crisis remains unresolved.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham turns to Tories and Lib Dems for social care solutions: ‘Help me fix this’
Andy Burnham is seeking cross-party cooperation with Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch and Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey to address England’s long-standing social care crisis, which he says is placing growing pressure on families, carers and the NHS. A Downing Street summit will begin discussions alongside an independent commission led by Louise Casey and a public consultation on the future of adult social care. The Conservatives are willing to engage but oppose funding based on further tax rises or borrowing, while the Liberal Democrats support the talks. Reform UK has not been invited and has accused Burnham of reviving a previously proposed “death tax,” a claim Downing Street denies. The initiative faces wider concerns over inflation, limited borrowing capacity and the funding of the government’s existing commitments.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Why Andy Burnham’s reforms could cause the prime minister a headache
The National Institute for Economic and Social Research warns that the UK cannot fund Andy Burnham’s approximately £2bn spending pledges through further borrowing. Prime Minister Burnham and Chancellor John Healey may instead need to raise taxes or cut spending as inflation, borrowing costs and unemployment rise. Healey faces an estimated £24bn real-terms spending squeeze by the end of the decade, while economic growth is forecast to weaken sharply and more than one million young people could remain outside education, employment or training through 2030.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham urges opposition leaders to ‘problem-solve’ social care crisis
Andy Burnham is seeking cross-party cooperation with Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch and Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey to address England’s social care crisis, warning that the NHS could collapse without reform. A summit will explore consensus on delivering social care, while Baroness Louise Casey leads an independent commission and public consultation for a possible National Care Service. Funding remains a major obstacle because of inflation, limited borrowing capacity and the possibility of tax rises.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham warned he will have to raise taxes or cut spending to fund his pledges
The National Institute for Economic and Social Research warns that Andy Burnham’s approximately £2bn package of measures, including a £2 bus fare cap, reduced VAT on energy bills and lower pub business rates, cannot be funded through additional borrowing. Chancellor John Healey may instead need to raise taxes or cut existing spending, while also addressing a £13bn defence-spending shortfall and funding social-care and rough-sleeping reforms. NIESR forecasts inflation of 3.8 per cent next year, slower growth, a temporary rise in unemployment and continued pressure on living standards, creating difficult choices for the autumn Budget.
The Independent
Jul 2026
‘Burnham bounce’ Takes Labour to the Top of the Polls as Party Set for Landslide Victory in Manchester
Labour has moved ahead of Reform UK in several national polls following Andy Burnham’s replacement of Keir Starmer as prime minister. Polling experts attribute the improvement to Burnham’s communication and policies, while warning that the boost may be temporary and that Labour remains closely matched with Reform. The Conservatives have also shown signs of recovery as Reform’s support declines. In Greater Manchester, Labour candidate Bev Craig is projected to win the mayoral by-election comfortably, with Reform, the Greens and Conservatives trailing. Reform says it is not concerned by the short-term shift, while Burnham says he will not be carried away but believes he has reconnected with voters.
The Independent
Jul 2026
The cut-through tactics that have given Andy Burnham his edge
Andy Burnham’s early premiership has generated a six-point Labour polling bounce through highly visible measures such as a £2 bus fare cap, removing VAT from energy bills, pub-focused announcements and informal social-media content. Polling experts caution that leadership-change bounces are common and do not necessarily translate into election victories. Labour has also benefited from Nigel Farage’s difficulties over donations, while Reform’s momentum and the Green Party’s position appear to have weakened. Burnham’s appointment of John Healey as chancellor and his ability to shape the political narrative have strengthened Labour’s position, although the party remains some distance from being ready to win a general election.
The Independent
Jul 2026
How Labour went ahead of Reform in polls for first time since March 2025
Labour has overtaken or drawn level with Reform UK in recent UK national polls, ending Reform’s lead across more than 300 consecutive surveys since April 2025. The shift is attributed largely to a boost in support following Andy Burnham’s appointment as prime minister, while Reform faces declining support, a Clacton by-election and scrutiny over donations to Nigel Farage. The Conservatives are also showing a modest recovery, potentially reclaiming voters who moved to Reform. Burnham urged caution despite the improvement, and Reform said it expected further changes in public opinion.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham to unveil plans to help ‘lost generation’ of young people
Andy Burnham is set to announce a major education overhaul intended to address the growing number of young people not in education, employment or training. The plans would end the prioritization of university preparation and give technical education equal status, allowing 14-year-olds to combine academic subjects with vocational training and work experience linked to local jobs. Business leaders and trade unions have welcomed the proposals, while Conservative shadow education secretary Laura Trott has criticized them.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham to end prioritising university places in biggest schools reform for 15 years
Prime Minister Andy Burnham is set to overhaul England’s education system by ending the prioritisation of university preparation and placing technical education on an equal footing with academic study. From age 14, students would be able to combine core subjects with vocational training, employer placements and skills linked to local industries such as engineering, healthcare and digital technology. Regional mayors, schools, colleges and businesses would help design the pathways, while school inspections and funding would be adjusted to recognise high-quality technical provision. The proposals respond to concerns that more than one million 16- to 24-year-olds are not in education, employment or training and are supported by Alan Milburn, business leaders and trade unions, although Conservative education spokesperson Laura Trott argues that Labour’s wider employment policies are worsening youth unemployment.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Has a ‘Burnham Bounce’ helped Labour in the polls?
Labour has overtaken Reform UK in polling for the first time in more than a year, leading 28% to 24%, with the improvement attributed to a perceived “Burnham bounce” after Andy Burnham became prime minister. The poll projects Labour winning a narrow working majority of 325 seats, while the Conservatives would take 124 and Reform UK 88. Green support has declined, while Reform leader Nigel Farage faces scrutiny over an undeclared £5 million donation, links to a convicted money launderer and a by-election contest in Clacton.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Labour leapfrogs Reform to lead in the polls for first time in over a year thanks to ‘Burnham bounce’
A More in Common poll puts Labour at 28 per cent, four points up, ahead of Reform UK on 24 per cent and the Conservatives on 22 per cent. The result marks Labour’s first polling lead since March 2025 and is attributed to an early “Burnham bounce,” falling Green support and the prime minister’s focus on the cost of living. The projection gives Labour 325 seats, a narrow working majority, while Burnham rules out an early election. Reform leader Nigel Farage is weakened by questions over an undeclared £5 million donation, links to George Cottrell and an unusual by-election contest in his constituency.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham to make it harder for people to claim benefits as he vows to ‘get serious’ about cutting welfare bill
Prime Minister Andy Burnham says the UK must reduce its welfare bill and suggests making some benefits, including mental-health support, conditional on recipients taking up work opportunities. He says the aim is not to punish claimants, acknowledging that many young people have been failed by inadequate support. The approach could reignite opposition from Labour MPs who previously rebelled against welfare cuts. Burnham also identifies reforming social care as a priority, warning that the NHS could collapse without substantial change, although he gives no firm timetable for a new system.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Brexit back on the table under Burnham – but those who want to rejoin shouldn’t get their hopes up
Andy Burnham’s appointment of Hamish Falconer as minister responsible for EU negotiations appears to signal a more ambitious Brexit reset than the approach pursued under Keir Starmer. Falconer has suggested progress on food and drink imports, border controls, electricity cooperation, defence and youth mobility, while leaving open the possibility of a future pledge to rejoin the EU. The article argues that demographic and electoral shifts have strengthened public support for rejoining, although an immediate return is unlikely and would require substantial political capital. It highlights Labour’s internal divisions, the government’s continued interest in Brexit freedoms, and claimed annual losses of £100 billion in trade and £40 billion in tax revenue as reasons the question of EU membership may become increasingly difficult to avoid.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Why Burnham Can Succeed on Slashing the Welfare Bill Where Starmer Failed
Andy Burnham is signaling that he intends to reduce the UK welfare bill by making more benefits conditional on work and participation in employment opportunities. Unlike Keir Starmer’s failed attempt to specify £5bn in savings, Burnham is avoiding a fixed target and framing welfare reform around changing the support system and addressing society’s failure to help claimants. The article argues that the government faces strong fiscal pressure to reduce welfare spending in order to fund priorities such as social care, defence and support for struggling households and businesses. Burnham may have more room to act because Labour is unlikely to replace another leader before the next election, but a renewed backbench rebellion remains possible.
The Independent
Jul 2026
‘It’s no joke!’ Clacton voters can put reversing Brexit back on the table, says ex-MEP running against Farage
Former MEP John Stevens, standing for the Rejoin EU Party in the Clacton by-election, says the contest could put reversing Brexit back on the national political agenda and undermine Nigel Farage if voters deliver a significant anti-Brexit vote. Despite Clacton’s 70 per cent Leave vote in 2016, Stevens claims younger voters and women are increasingly dissatisfied with Brexit. He argues that Remainers must acknowledge their own role in the referendum result and pursue a reconciliatory case for rejoining the EU rather than blaming Leave voters.
The Independent
Jul 2026
‘Sex MP’ has no regrets as she warns about need for lifelong sex education
Labour MP Samantha Niblett is defending her campaign for more open, lifelong sex education after being branded the “sex MP” for advocating discussion of sex toys and pleasure. She argues that reducing shame and improving communication could help address sexual abuse and relationship problems. The campaign has received support from Emma Thompson, Alistair Strathern and the Make It Mandatory group, which wants relationships and sex education to be compulsory through age 18. Niblett has faced attacks from Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch but says the issue should not be reduced to party politics. The discussion comes amid figures showing widespread sexual assault in England and Wales and longstanding concerns about gaps in school-based sex education.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Streeting says he is still in ‘first impressions territory’ with Trump
UK Defence Secretary Wes Streeting declined to say whether he trusts Donald Trump, saying he remains in “first impressions territory,” while affirming that he trusts the United States. He suggested Europe may ultimately be grateful to Trump for encouraging it to take greater responsibility for its own defence and reducing reliance on Washington. Streeting also stressed the importance of the US-UK defence alliance and said the UK would not support offensive action against Iran, though it would cooperate with the United States to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. The interview marked Trevor Phillips’s final appearance on his Sky News politics programme before joining CBS News.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Wes Streeting refuses to say whether he trusts Donald Trump
New UK Defence Secretary Wes Streeting declined to say whether he trusts US President Donald Trump, saying he is still forming a first impression, but argued that Europe may eventually thank Trump for forcing it to assume greater responsibility for its own defence. Streeting emphasized that the United States remains the UK's principal ally while advocating stronger European and NATO capabilities and continued cooperation with Washington. He also said the UK would not support offensive action against Iran, though it would work with allies to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. Streeting indicated that military spending is likely to rise and identified defence procurement and value for money as longstanding problems. He defended his record as health secretary, saying his main frustration had been the government's failure to prioritize social care reform.
The Independent
Jul 2026
I Will Stand Up to President Trump if I Have To, Says Andy Burnham
Prime Minister Andy Burnham says he will put British interests first and publicly disagree with Donald Trump when necessary, despite a warm initial phone call and increasingly strained UK-US relations over the Iran conflict. Burnham also pledges to fully fund the defence investment plan, including addressing a £13 billion shortfall and an additional £4.7 billion gap, while ruling out an early election and increases to income tax, VAT or national insurance. Chancellor John Healey supports the defence commitment and promises a major shift toward buying from British businesses, while Defence Secretary Wes Streeting also backs higher defence spending.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham accused of ‘unfunded promises’ over social care plan
Andy Burnham is facing pressure to explain how he would fund pledges including social care reform, business-rate cuts for hospitality and music venues, removal of VAT from energy bills, and a £2 bus-fare cap. The Conservatives accuse him of making unfunded promises, while the Resolution Foundation estimates the commitments could cost more than £2 billion by 2029–30 and significantly reduce available fiscal headroom.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham facing fresh questions over ‘unfunded spending’ as new PM set to unveil plan to fix social care
Andy Burnham is facing Conservative demands to explain how a series of spending pledges—including support for pubs and music venues, removing VAT from energy bills, and £2 bus fares—will be funded as he prepares to prioritize reforming England’s social-care system. The Resolution Foundation estimates the pledges could cost more than £2 billion by 2029–30 and significantly reduce the government’s fiscal headroom. Burnham argues that successive governments have failed to address the crisis, while shadow chancellor Mel Stride warns of future tax rises and borrowing. Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey supports a renewed effort, particularly to protect family carers.
The Independent
Jul 2026
EU gets boost from new wave of Trump tariffs while Brexit Britain misses out
A new US tariff regime leaves UK goods facing a 10 per cent rate while reducing the EU's blanket tariff from 15 per cent to 10 per cent, eroding Britain's previous advantage in sectors such as clothing, chemicals, beverages and bicycles. Business and pro-European figures argue that Brexit has weakened the UK's leverage and excluded it from decisions made by the larger EU bloc. The UK government disputes this, saying its deal still offers better terms on £40 billion of exports, including cars, whisky, steel and pharmaceuticals, and that no additional tariffs have been imposed. The United States says the measures target countries failing to address forced-labour imports, while allowing exemptions for goods whose tariffs could cause shortages or economic disruption. A separate announcement removes tariffs on Scotch whisky.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham’s Pubs Rate Cut Slammed by Landlords: ‘Like Stealing Our Lunchbox and Giving Us a Crisp Back’
Andy Burnham’s plan to cut business rates by 20 per cent for pubs, clubs and live-music venues is expected to benefit about 32,000 businesses, with a typical pub saving roughly £1,100 a year. Landlords and hospitality figures largely welcome the recognition of the sector’s difficulties but argue that the savings are too small to offset rising rents, wages, energy, VAT and other costs. Critics describe the measure as a political manoeuvre and warn that many venues may close before it takes effect. The policy is projected to cost £100m annually, funded through reduced relief for vape shops and action against online businesses that fail to pay VAT, though opposition politicians have questioned the funding details. Cafes, bakeries and restaurants also say they have been unfairly excluded.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham latest: Sacked minister questions funding for new PM’s first major policy
Prime Minister Andy Burnham has announced that VAT will be removed from household electricity bills from 1 October. Chancellor John Healey says the measure will be funded by cancelling the Digital ID programme, but former Cabinet minister Darren Jones argues that the programme was already unfunded and says the government must explain how it will finance its new policies. The announcement came as Burnham completed cabinet appointments, including Angela Rayner as housing secretary and Wes Streeting as defence secretary.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Five ways Andy Burnham could fund his early premiership giveaways
The early policy announcements of Prime Minister Andy Burnham include scrapping VAT on energy bills, capping bus fares at £2 and reducing business rates for pubs, venues and shops, creating pressure to identify funding sources. Options being discussed include forms of wealth taxation, reallocating departmental budgets, imposing an “Amazon tax” on large online retail warehouses, expanding moral taxes on industries such as vaping and gambling, and exploring borrowing flexibility within existing fiscal rules, including defence bonds supported by new chancellor John Healey.
The Independent
Jul 2026
John Healey considers joining Global Defence Bank to increase UK defence spending
John Healey is reportedly reconsidering the UK’s participation in the Canada-led Global Defence Bank as he seeks an additional £18 billion for defence. The scheme, which includes nine countries, would cost the UK about £870 million over three years while pooling resources to finance defence companies and indirectly support military spending. Former chancellors Rachel Reeves and former defence secretaries Gavin Williamson and Malcolm Rifkind are central to the debate, with Reeves previously opposing membership over concerns that it would violate strict borrowing rules and the former Conservative ministers offering conditional support.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Former defence secretaries back Healey plan to use war bonds to boost defence spending
New chancellor John Healey is reportedly considering reviving plans for the UK to join Mark Carney’s Canada-led Global Defence Bank and issue defence bonds to help fund an estimated £18bn shortfall in military spending. Two former Conservative defence secretaries, Gavin Williamson and Malcolm Rifkind, support exploring the idea, while economist Stephen Millard questions whether the scheme would offer the UK cheaper financing than conventional gilts. Rachel Reeves previously rejected the proposal as borrowing under another name, but Healey may now revisit it after replacing her. Defence secretary Wes Streeting has also stressed that additional military investment must deliver modernization and value for money.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Trump ‘will not forget’ Miliband criticism as appointment sparks anger
Ed Miliband’s appointment as foreign secretary by incoming prime minister Andy Burnham has reportedly alarmed the White House because of Miliband’s past attacks on Donald Trump, his climate policies and his opposition to expanded North Sea oil production. Critics, including Boris Johnson, also connect Miliband to the 2013 decision not to support bombing Syria, arguing that it strengthened Vladimir Putin. Former Labour foreign minister Bill Rammell offers a more conciliatory view, saying Miliband and Trump may still develop a workable relationship.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Trump anger at Ed Miliband’s appointment as foreign secretary
The United States has expressed strong concern over Ed Miliband’s appointment as UK foreign secretary, citing his past criticisms of Donald Trump and disputes over climate policy. Figures close to the Trump administration warn that Miliband faces significant challenges in repairing diplomatic relations, while additional criticism references his 2013 decision on Syria and its perceived geopolitical consequences. Supporters argue he can still develop a functional relationship with Washington, noting precedents of improved ties despite past remarks. Miliband has pledged to strengthen cooperation with the European Union and maintain the UK’s strategic alliance with the United States.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham criticised for ‘unfunded’ tax cut pledge after vowing to tackle cost of living crisis
Prime Minister Andy Burnham has announced an £850m VAT cut on household electricity bills from 1 October, expected to save typical households about £45 a year, as part of a stated focus on reducing the cost of living. Former chancellor Darren Jones has challenged the government’s claim that the measure is fully funded through savings from the cancelled digital ID scheme, prompting Burnham to promise greater transparency about funding and spending reprioritisation. The announcement has fueled speculation about an early election and possible future measures including a wealth tax on households with more than £100m in assets and a rise in the top income-tax rate. Researchers estimate the proposed wealth tax could raise £10bn while affecting fewer than 1,000 UK households.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham’s cabinet changes open door to rethink on Brexit
Andy Burnham’s early cabinet appointments and conversations with EU leaders are presented as possible signs of a more ambitious Brexit strategy than Keir Starmer’s cautious reset. Replacing Nick Thomas-Symonds with internationally experienced Hamish Falconer and giving the Foreign Office to Brexit critic Ed Miliband could enable new negotiations. Burnham’s support for eventually rejoining the EU raises the prospect of removing Labour’s current red lines after a future election, although an interim bespoke customs arrangement may be more realistic.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham’s choice of John Healey as chancellor is a shock decision that signals a true overhaul of government
Andy Burnham’s unexpected appointment of John Healey as chancellor is presented as the first major signal of his government’s direction. Healey’s Treasury experience, criticism of spending orthodoxy and support for defence as an engine of growth suggest that defence, reindustrialisation, devolution, housing and support for British industry will be central priorities. The choice also appears designed to bridge Labour’s internal factions and maintain economic stability. Shabana Mahmood remains home secretary with permission to continue a tough immigration policy, while Ed Miliband moves to a foreign-policy role focused partly on restoring international aid. The appointments indicate a government seeking both fiscal credibility and a more interventionist approach to growth and public investment.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham promises to be ‘circuit-breaker’ PM as he purges cabinet
Andy Burnham began his premiership by reshaping the cabinet, appointing John Healey as chancellor and removing key Starmer loyalists. He pledged a “circuit-breaker” moment for Britain, prioritising ending rough sleeping, reforming social care and addressing the cost of living crisis. Burnham reaffirmed commitments to welfare reform, decentralisation and defence spending while promising fiscal prudence. Reactions from outgoing ministers ranged from supportive to critical. After meeting King Charles, he emphasised restoring public trust and raising political standards as he begins implementing his long-term plan for stability and renewal.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Who will Andy Burnham pick for his chancellor and cabinet – all the runners and riders
Speculation intensifies over Andy Burnham’s likely cabinet choices as he prepares to enter Downing Street. Shabana Mahmood is emerging as the frontrunner for chancellor, while Ed Miliband is expected to take the foreign secretary role. A reshaped cabinet is anticipated, with several prominent female MPs poised for senior posts, including Louise Haigh and Angela Rayner. Key allies such as Lucy Powell and Lisa Nandy could see promotions, while figures aligned with Keir Starmer, including David Lammy and several current secretaries, risk being removed. Significant changes across major departments are expected, reflecting Burnham’s aim to broaden representation within the party and shift the government’s direction.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Why Did Starmer Resign? The Key Moments of His Chaotic Two Years as Prime Minister
Keir Starmer's resignation followed a sustained collapse in political authority after Labour suffered record local election losses and lost support to Reform UK. Andy Burnham's victory in the Makerfield by-election became the immediate catalyst, reinforcing perceptions that he could defeat Reform more effectively. Starmer's position was further weakened by ministerial resignations over defence spending, the Peter Mandelson vetting scandal, disputes over welfare and benefits, controversies involving political gifts, and repeated internal rebellions. Despite Labour's landslide 2024 election victory, polling showed a sharp decline in support for both the government and Starmer, while tensions over defence, international relations and domestic policy compounded the crisis. Burnham was consequently positioned for an uncontested succession as prime minister.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Shabana Mahmood’s history on tax and welfare sparks tensions with Andy Burnham allies
Shabana Mahmood is widely expected to become Andy Burnham’s chancellor, but her previous opposition to Rachel Reeves’s tax rises and her support for welfare cuts have alarmed Labour’s left. Supporters argue that her pro-business stance would reassure financial markets and provide a decisive break from Reeves. The appointment could create disputes with Louise Haigh over wealth and capital-gains taxes and with plans to shift economic decision-making toward Downing Street and the Cabinet Office. Burnham also faces major funding demands for devolution and special educational needs, while his support for new North Sea oil and gas drilling conflicts with Ed Miliband’s position.
The Independent
Jul 2026
How Shabana Mahmood’s history on tax could spark tension with Burnham allies
Shabana Mahmood is reportedly the leading candidate to become Andy Burnham’s chancellor, but her past criticism of Rachel Reeves’s tax rises and opposition to wealth taxes have alarmed Labour’s left wing. Supporters praise her effectiveness, particularly on immigration, while Burnham would need to raise funds for devolution, seek greater tax powers for mayors and address the crisis in special-ne needs education.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham to scrap Starmer’s flagship digital ID scheme and focus on bills
Labour is expected to abandon Keir Starmer’s flagship digital ID programme so the government can concentrate on the cost of living, economic reform and changes to the political system. Deputy leader Lucy Powell said the party would retain its manifesto commitments on North Sea oil and gas, despite a possible change in emphasis under Andy Burnham. She also criticized media speculation about Cabinet appointments, while Ed Miliband was reportedly being considered for Foreign Secretary.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham to Abandon Starmer’s Controversial Digital ID Plans in Policy Blitz
Incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham is expected to scrap Keir Starmer’s proposed £2 billion digital ID scheme, following opposition from Labour MPs over its cost and implications for civil liberties. His government also plans to reverse jury-trial reforms, reinstate MP Karl Turner and redirect resources toward cost-of-living support and local economies. Mandatory digital right-to-work checks will remain, with the system expanded to gig-economy and zero-hours workers to combat illegal employment.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham to ditch Starmer’s £2bn digital ID scheme to signal change of direction
Andy Burnham plans to abandon Keir Starmer’s £2bn digital ID proposal as part of a broader realignment of government priorities toward cost‑of‑living concerns and community empowerment. Additional reversals are expected, including scrapping proposed limits on jury trials and reinstating MP Karl Turner. The government aims to restore the UK’s international aid target while maintaining strict enforcement against illegal working, with continued right‑to‑work checks and expanded requirements under the Border Security, Asylum and Immigration Bill.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham plots Ed Miliband shake-up of Foreign Office as he readies policy blitz for first day as PM
Andy Burnham is preparing a major reshaping of the Foreign Office, including plans to restore the UK’s international aid spending to 0.7 percent of GDP and adopt a more climate-focused foreign policy. Ed Miliband is expected to become foreign secretary with a mandate to emphasise development and environmental goals, while potential energy policy shifts and cryptocurrency-related anti-corruption measures are also under consideration. Internal Labour tensions over aid cuts, cabinet reshuffles, and broader policy direction accompany speculation about Burnham's incoming government, as opposition leader Kemi Badenoch warns of challenges ahead.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham Set to Unveil Big Energy Plan as Rumours Swirl Over Cabinet
Andy Burnham is expected to become Prime Minister and reportedly plans to introduce a cost-of-living package focused on reducing energy bills, including cheaper heat pumps and a cut to VAT on energy. Cabinet speculation has also intensified, with Shabana Mahmood, Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner linked to senior roles, although Rayner’s sources have rejected reports that she will become Health Secretary.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Why Farage going ‘full conspiracy theory’ is not impressing voters in Clacton
Nigel Farage’s explanation for calling an early by-election in Clacton portrays Labour, the media and the political establishment as conspiring against him and Reform UK. Local voters have challenged several of his claims, including allegations that proposed electoral and donation-rule changes specifically target Reform and that the investigation into him is being run by the Labour government. The article highlights criticism of Farage’s use of conspiracy rhetoric and media appearances, alongside polling showing Reform’s lead over Labour narrowing and mixed local support for his narrative.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Details of new Labour leader Andy Burnham’s planned policy blitz
New Labour leader Andy Burnham is expected to launch a broad policy programme on becoming prime minister, potentially including new North Sea oil and gas drilling despite Labour’s 2024 manifesto pledge against new licences. The future of the Rosebank and Jackdaw fields remains contentious, with some MPs supporting further drilling to lower energy bills while others favour renewable energy. Other anticipated measures include bringing water and energy companies under public control and expanding council-house construction.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham tells Labour: I’m your last chance
Andy Burnham has been elected unopposed as Labour leader after securing the backing of 379 MPs and all trade unions. In his acceptance speech, he called for party unity, warned that Labour was facing its “last chance” to change, and pledged to offer a more distinctively Labour alternative to Reform UK and the Conservatives. Burnham promised to rewrite the prevailing economic consensus, devolve power from Westminster and apply a “Makerfield test” to government policy, but provided limited detail and had not yet finalized his cabinet. He praised some of Keir Starmer’s achievements while sharply distancing himself from Starmer’s approach to factionalism, economic policy and political presentation. A poll showing Labour level with Reform UK at 24 percent offered an early indication of the challenge facing his leadership.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham claims he has a plan for change – it’s a shame he still hasn’t told us what it is
Andy Burnham’s speech after becoming Labour leader emphasized party and national unity, political change, devolution and a distinctively Labour agenda. However, he offered few concrete policies, despite promising to reverse decades of economic consensus, and admitted that he had not yet chosen his senior ministers. His reflections on the Hillsborough disaster showed personal humility, but the central question remains whether he has the vision and leadership to capitalize on Labour’s opportunity while the Conservatives struggle and Reform UK faces turmoil.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham cannot keep ducking scrutiny. This is what he needs to do if he wants to convince voters he’s fit to be PM
Andy Burnham is criticized for becoming Labour leader and preparing to enter Downing Street without facing sustained media or parliamentary scrutiny. His limited appearances—including a short interview, a football discussion, a Reddit session and selectively edited public questions—are portrayed as an inadequate substitute for answering major questions about his cabinet, Gaza policy, Manchester development lending, devolution, economic policy and the EU. The piece argues that Burnham should engage across both social and traditional media, warning that carefully managed positive messaging can quickly give way to public suspicion.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham to promise to undo Thatcher’s economic legacy in first speech as Labour leader
Andy Burnham is set to become Labour leader and prime minister, preparing a speech pledging to reverse key elements of Margaret Thatcher’s economic legacy and reject the Blair-era acceptance of that framework. He plans to steer the UK onto a new economic path emphasising public control, regional empowerment and re‑industrialisation, while considering significant tax increases including a potential wealth tax. Burnham signals a united, values‑driven Labour government focused on practical solutions and cooperation across the UK, and pays tribute to Keir Starmer for leading the party back to power.
The Independent
Jul 2026
What Burnham said about Blair and Thatcher as he aims to forge ‘new path’ for Britain
Andy Burnham is set to use his first speech as Labour leader to argue that Britain took wrong turns in the 1980s by centralising political power and privatising economic power. He plans to challenge the economic settlement associated with Margaret Thatcher, including elements later accepted by Tony Blair, and may propose tax rises of up to £38 billion and a wealth tax. Burnham will also call for a united Labour Party focused on practical policies, cooperation with other parties and stronger representation for all regions of Britain.
The Independent
Jul 2026
World Cup might not be ours but the Falklands definitely are, says defiant No 10 after Argentina banner row
The UK government backed calls for FIFA to investigate Argentine players who displayed a “The Falkland Islands are Argentinian” banner after defeating England. Downing Street reaffirmed that sovereignty rests with the islanders and defended HMS Medway’s voyage to Chile as lawful, pre-notified and intended to support Antarctic research. Argentina also accused the Royal Navy of an illegal incursion into its waters. British politicians and Falklands veterans condemned the banner, while FIFA said its disciplinary committee was assessing the incident and could impose sanctions.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Why Andy Burnham should bring David Miliband into his cabinet
Andy Burnham is encouraged to bring David Miliband into his cabinet to strengthen experience, international credibility, and ideological balance within Labour’s leadership team. Miliband’s foreign policy record and his role leading the International Rescue Committee are cited as assets, comparable to Rishi Sunak’s decision to bring back David Cameron. The article notes that Miliband would likely only return for a senior role such as foreign secretary or a restored international development post, while acknowledging speculation that Ed Miliband may also be considered for the top diplomatic job. A cabinet including both Miliband brothers is presented as the most strategically unifying option for Burnham.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Minister hits out after Argentina players celebrate England win with ‘entirely inappropriate’ Falklands banner
A UK minister condemned Argentina players for displaying a “Las Malvinas son Argentinas” banner after their 2-1 World Cup victory over England and urged FIFA to investigate possible breaches of its ban on political messaging. The British government reaffirmed that the Falkland Islanders’ right to self-determination is paramount, while British politicians criticized the gesture as provocative and called for possible sanctions. The incident reflects continuing tensions over Argentina’s sovereignty claim and the lasting political impact of the 1982 Falklands War.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham Appears to Make Decision Over Who Will Take Over as Chancellor
Andy Burnham is expected to appoint Shabana Mahmood as his chancellor, after objections reportedly ruled out his initial choice, Ed Miliband. Mahmood is viewed as more right-leaning, has Tony Blair’s backing and is considered more likely to reassure financial markets. Burnham has also indicated that he would not rule out introducing a wealth tax. Other cabinet appointments, including a strengthened role for Louise Haigh, remain uncertain ahead of the new government taking office.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Shabana Mahmood expected to be named as Andy Burnham’s chancellor
Shabana Mahmood is expected to be appointed chancellor under incoming Labour leader Andy Burnham after concerns within his team over Ed Miliband’s suitability for the role. Mahmood is viewed as a stabilizing figure for financial markets, while Miliband’s past leadership record and firm net-zero positions have caused division. Other potential candidates, including Wes Streeting and Pat McFadden, have faced internal objections. Burnham signaled openness to future tax changes while emphasizing fairness and caution. Structural shifts are anticipated, with more economic policy moving to Downing Street and the Cabinet Office. Senior Labour figures, including Louise Haigh, Angela Rayner, Lucy Powell, and Lisa Nandy, are expected to take key positions as the new leadership team forms.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Will England’s players be knighted if they win the World Cup?
Keir Starmer is expected to consider awarding honours to England’s men’s football team if it wins the World Cup, potentially including a knighthood for captain Harry Kane and a major honour for Jude Bellingham. The move would reverse Starmer’s earlier pledge not to issue a traditional resignation honours list. Labour sources attribute the change partly to Starmer’s enthusiasm for football. He has also promised a bank holiday if England wins and may attend a potential final in New York before leaving office.
The Independent
Jul 2026
‘Arise, Sir Harry?’: Keir Starmer set to honour England stars if they win World Cup
Keir Starmer is considering honouring England’s men’s football team with major awards, including possible knighthoods for Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham, if they win the World Cup. The move would reverse his earlier commitment not to issue a resignation honours list, a decision influenced by controversies surrounding honours awarded by recent Conservative prime ministers. Labour insiders suggest England’s tournament performance has shifted Starmer’s position. As his premiership nears its end, parliamentary discussions highlighted England’s success and the political symbolism of a potential Labour-led World Cup victory. Even without a win, players may still receive recognition in future honours lists based on precedent.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Erdogan calls for deportation of suspects linked to failed coup a decade ago
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has renewed calls for the UK and other NATO allies to extradite people Turkey links to the failed July 2016 coup, which Ankara blames on followers of Fetullah Gulen. Turkey has detained hundreds of thousands of people over alleged connections to the movement, but British courts have rejected several extradition requests because of risks of politically motivated prosecution and ill-treatment. The Gulen movement denies involvement, and the UK does not designate it as a terrorist organization. The renewed demands come as Turkey faces continuing criticism over press freedom, repression of political opponents and restrictions on civil liberties, while Erdogan maintains that Türkiye has become an influential mediator in international crises.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Who could Burnham pick for his chancellor and cabinet?
Andy Burnham is set to become UK prime minister with overwhelming MP backing, prompting speculation about his cabinet choices, especially the next chancellor. Shabana Mahmood is seen as the frontrunner, while Ed Miliband, Wes Streeting and Darren Jones are also in contention, each representing different economic approaches. Several female MPs, including Louise Haigh, Anneliese Midgley, Angela Rayner and Lucy Powell, are expected to gain prominent roles. Some figures from the Starmer era, such as David Lammy and Pat McFadden, may be removed or reassigned. Key posts like defence and foreign secretary remain uncertain, with potential returns for Al Carns or John Healey. Cabinet changes are expected to be extensive, with final decisions anticipated within weeks.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Louise Haigh set to land key policy control role in Andy Burnham government
Louise Haigh is expected to become chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster in Andy Burnham’s incoming government, positioning her at the center of policy formation and economic decision-making. Her potential appointment aligns with Burnham’s plan to drive economic policy through Downing Street and the Cabinet Office amid speculation over Ed Miliband’s future role. Haigh’s past resignation and her recent comments about Burnham’s planning timeline have drawn controversy, while her support for wealth and capital gains tax reforms has prompted concern from businesses. Labour MPs and advisers are positioning themselves for roles as Burnham prepares to take over as prime minister.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Who is Louise Haigh? Key Andy Burnham ally set for top role in his government
Louise Haigh is reportedly set to become Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster in Andy Burnham’s expected incoming government, giving her responsibility for the Cabinet Office and a central role in policy development. The former transport secretary has advocated wealth taxes and aligning capital gains tax with income tax, drawing business concerns about investment. Her appointment would reflect her close ties to Burnham, despite controversy over comments about replacing Keir Starmer.
The Independent
Jul 2026
How Starmer is scrambling to ensure his legacy – and make sure Burnham does not take the credit
Keir Starmer is portrayed as rushing to establish a final political legacy before Andy Burnham succeeds him as Labour leader and prime minister. His late-term announcements include proscribing Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, introducing the Hillsborough Law, agreeing a trade deal with Switzerland, unveiling a defence plan, supporting Ukraine peace efforts and changing deportation law. The commentary argues that Starmer is particularly determined to retain credit for measures associated with Burnham, while noting that his broader legacy will depend on Labour’s handling of antisemitism, the two-child benefit cap and its recovery from the Jeremy Corbyn era.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Tony Blair warns Andy Burnham ‘you are not going to be loved’ in leadership advice
Tony Blair urged incoming Labour leader Andy Burnham to avoid expecting widespread affection in office and to prioritize maintaining a strong US relationship amid rising geopolitical risks from Russia. Speaking at a Tony Blair Institute event, he warned that Europe could face future conflict and stressed the strategic necessity of American support regardless of who is president. Blair also criticised Ed Miliband’s rapid net zero approach as economically harmful while endorsing long‑term clean‑energy ambitions. Burnham, running unopposed for the Labour leadership, was praised for his political instincts and popularity but cautioned about the pressures of governing.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Tony Blair issues warning to Andy Burnham over prime minister role
Tony Blair has warned Andy Burnham that popularity will not guarantee public affection if he becomes prime minister, drawing on Blair’s experience after Labour’s 1997 election victory. He stressed the need to maintain a strong relationship with the United States regardless of its president, citing the risk of a Russian invasion in Europe, and criticized the pace of net-zero policies for potentially penalising British businesses. The remarks were made at a Tony Blair Institute event in London attended by political and media figures including Rishi Sunak, shortly after Burnham secured 349 nominations and was effectively confirmed as the next prime minister.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham vows to restore Labour’s ‘broad church’ in pledge to change party culture to MPs
Andy Burnham pledged to shift Labour toward a more inclusive ‘broad church’ culture during a leadership hustings with MPs, responding to complaints of factionalism under Keir Starmer. He promised greater accountability, regular engagement with MPs, restoration of the whip for Karl Turner and recognition of diverse viewpoints within the party. Burnham outlined policy priorities centered on economic growth, community empowerment and cost of living pressures, while receiving supportive reactions from many MPs who contrasted his approach favorably with Starmer’s leadership.
The Independent
Jul 2026
UK Proscribes Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as National Security Threat
The UK government has designated Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a foreign state threat under new national-security powers, citing threats to life, intimidation and alleged links to attacks targeting Jewish and Israeli communities in Britain. The Islamic Movement of Companions of the Right and a Russian GRU volunteer unit were also designated over alleged terrorist and sabotage activities. The measures criminalise support, assistance and material benefits for the groups, but fall short of full proscription under the Terrorism Act. Ministers and security experts welcomed the decision, while critics said it was long overdue and questioned whether the new powers provide sufficient protection.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Starmer authorises terror ban on Iran’s Revolutionary Guard
Keir Starmer has authorised the proscription of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organisation, citing threats to life and intimidation in the UK. The Islamic Movement of Companions of the Right and a volunteer corps linked to Russia’s GRU were also designated. The ban makes it a criminal offence to support, assist or provide material benefits to the groups and follows the fast-tracking of the National Security (State Threats) Act.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Nigel Farage acted incorrectly over gifts, six in ten voters say
A new poll finds that 60 per cent of voters believe Nigel Farage acted incorrectly by not declaring certain gifts, including a £5 million gift from cryptocurrency billionaire Christopher Harborne. Farage says the money was personal and did not require declaration, while further questions concern support from convicted criminal George Cottrell. Farage’s approval rating has fallen to minus 27 points, and Reform UK’s support has declined by two points to 24 per cent.
The Independent
Jul 2026
UN draws up new blueprint to end Cyprus crisis after 52 years of stalemate
The United Nations is developing a new plan aimed at resolving the long‑standing division of Cyprus by proposing a looser political structure acceptable to both Greek and Turkish Cypriots. The draft envisions two constituent states with political equality, reduced shared competences, and a rotating presidential council, while requiring the Turkish Cypriot side to return areas such as Varosha. A revised guarantor framework involving NATO and a phased transition including territorial returns and improved trade and travel links for Turkish Cypriots is under consideration. Turkish Cypriot leader Tufan Erhürman has signaled openness to negotiations, while Cypriot President Nikos Christodoulides remains cautious amid domestic pressures. UN envoy María Ángela Holguín emphasizes the potential for a unified Cyprus to play a stabilizing regional role, though officials in Nicosia note that no formal proposal has yet been presented.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Inside Nigel Farage’s desperate by-election plan to snatch the political agenda from Burnham
Nigel Farage’s decision to trigger a by-election in Clacton is presented as a calculated move to regain political momentum amid scrutiny over major donations and associations. Allies say the strategy aims to reassert control as Andy Burnham’s rise threatens Reform UK’s positioning. The plan anticipates both potential victory and the possibility of returning at a general election if defeated. Challenges include internal party tensions, competition from Rupert Lowe’s Restore Britain, and broader concerns about vote-splitting and donor controversies, leaving unresolved issues for Farage even if he wins the seat.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham signals tougher policy on Israel over Gaza
Andy Burnham signals a significant shift in Labour’s Middle East policy, apologising for the party’s earlier stance on Gaza and indicating support for stronger pressure on Israel, including possible arms-sale restrictions and sanctions on individuals and entities. His position marks a departure from Keir Starmer’s approach and comes as he secures overwhelming MP nominations to become party leader and likely prime minister. The shift aims to regain voters who left Labour over its Gaza response, particularly in constituencies with large Muslim populations. Burnham acknowledges evidence of potential war crimes in Gaza but leaves genocide determinations to international courts. Internal Labour factions, including Labour Friends of Israel, remain influential, while broader foreign policy challenges persist amid escalating tensions involving Israel, Iran and the United States.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham’s secret plot to get to No 10
Louise Haigh revealed that Andy Burnham had been planning for at least a year to replace Keir Starmer as Labour leader as MPs move to nominate Burnham unopposed, positioning him to become prime minister. Haigh detailed what she described as a sexist culture within Starmer’s Downing Street operation, alleging hostile briefings against prominent female ministers including Angela Rayner, Bridget Phillipson and Lisa Nandy. She also criticised Starmer’s handling of her resignation over a past conviction, claiming his team attempted to damage her character and that he has not spoken to her since. Multiple previous accusations of misogyny within the government were cited as Burnham seeks to distance his prospective leadership from the alleged “boys’ club” environment.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Farage’s Clacton by-election gets go-ahead as Reeves declares: ‘I won’t stop him arguing with a bin’
Nigel Farage’s resignation as an MP and bid to trigger a Clacton by-election was approved by Rachel Reeves despite calls to block it while he is under investigation over undeclared donations. Major parties said they would boycott the contest, leaving Count Binface as his main opponent. Polling showed Reform UK slipping behind Labour and the Conservatives in projected seats, and bookmakers placed Binface as the second favourite. Farage rejected accusations related to donation probes and accused opponents of politically motivated attacks. Senior politicians from multiple parties mocked his situation, while discussions continued over whether to change the law to prevent MPs under investigation from forcing by-elections.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Nigel Farage hoped for a political boost – but his by-election stunt could result in career-ending humiliation
Nigel Farage’s attempt to gain political legitimacy through a self-triggered by‑election in Clacton risks backfiring as major parties decline to field candidates, leaving him primarily challenged by satirical candidate Count Binface. The unusual contest has drawn public attention and could prove humiliating for Farage if Binface secures a sizable protest vote, while the possibility of further scrutiny over Farage’s conduct looms through an ongoing parliamentary standards investigation.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Betting odds slashed on Count Binface to beat Farage in Clacton by-election
Betting odds for Count Binface have shortened as he becomes a leading anti-Farage option in a Clacton by-election triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation and recontest amid scrutiny of major donations. With major parties refusing to field candidates and labelling the contest a “fake” or politically motivated stunt, smaller parties and independent figures are filling the ballot. Reform UK’s Zia Yusuf criticised the coordinated withdrawal of major parties as undermining democracy, while supporters of Count Binface promote him as a tactical alternative to Farage.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Farage’s by-election gamble is a last ditch attempt to save his dying dream of being prime minister
Nigel Farage has triggered a by-election in Clacton in a high-stakes bid to stabilise Reform UK as its poll numbers decline and rivals close in. Facing scrutiny over undeclared multimillion‑pound donations from Christopher Harborne and his association with George Cottrell, he has withdrawn from press conferences and shifted to controlled social‑media messaging. With Labour under Andy Burnham rising and former Reform allies turning against him, Farage confronts diminishing prospects of ever becoming prime minister. Holding the seat will hinge on whether other parties allow Conservatives a clear tactical run to defeat him.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Farage’s resign and restand by-election plan branded ‘desperate political stunt’
Nigel Farage resigned as MP for Clacton to trigger a by-election in response to growing scrutiny of unregistered donations and links to controversial associates, framing the move as a challenge to the political establishment. Major parties condemned the decision as a wasteful stunt, with critics including Keir Starmer, Kemi Badenoch and other party leaders accusing him of deflecting from serious allegations. Farage maintained he was the target of media harassment and insisted Reform UK would cover the by‑election costs, while some allies praised the move as strategically advantageous. Rival parties debated whether to contest the vote, noting he could face another election if found to have broken parliamentary rules.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Farage referred to watchdog for investigation over donations from convicted criminal
Calls grow for an Electoral Commission investigation into Nigel Farage over undeclared donations from convicted money launderer George Cottrell, which reportedly included accommodation, security and staff support between 2019 and 2024. Former Reform UK deputy leader Ben Habib and Labour’s Anna Turley have requested a formal inquiry, challenging Reform UK’s claim that Farage was not politically active during the period. The Commission confirms party members are subject to donation disclosure rules and notes Farage’s obligations as an MEP until early 2020. Reform UK denies wrongdoing. Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch expresses concern over Farage’s response to press scrutiny but declines to judge potential breaches.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Why Posh George could be as fatal for Nigel Farage as Peter Mandelson was for Keir Starmer
George Cottrell’s close relationship with Nigel Farage has emerged as a major liability for Reform UK as scrutiny intensifies over Cottrell’s criminal past, financial involvement and influence within the party. The situation draws parallels with previous political downfalls linked to leaders’ questionable associates, including Peter Mandelson’s impact on Keir Starmer and Chris Pincher’s role in Boris Johnson’s resignation. Despite longstanding warnings, Farage remained close to Cottrell, even as new investigations raise further questions about judgement, donations and internal party operations.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Labour MPs fear infected blood compensation scandal is 'another fine mess' that Starmer is leaving for Burnham to clear up
Labour MPs warn that flaws in the infected blood compensation scheme could leave significant problems for Andy Burnham to resolve, accusing the government of creating unfair distinctions between victims. Concerns focus on evidence thresholds, treatment of bereaved parents, and support for those affected by hepatitis and long-term interferon treatment. Andy Burnham and Clive Efford call for regulatory changes and greater flexibility from the Infected Blood Compensation Authority, while a government source rejects claims of mishandling and maintains that recent adjustments reflect community feedback.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham economics adviser Lord O’Neill calls for tax system overhaul
Lord O’Neill and five other economists urge Andy Burnham to undertake a major overhaul of the UK tax system, backing a UCL report recommending simplified taxes and consolidated income-based levies. The proposals include replacing income tax, national insurance, inheritance tax and capital gains tax with a single unified tax, as well as replacing council tax and stamp duty with a property value tax. Burnham has signaled openness to reforming business rates and introducing an Amazon tax while maintaining Labour’s commitment not to raise income tax, VAT or national insurance. Debate continues within Labour over wealth taxation, including potential increases to capital gains tax.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Farage’s future in doubt as Reform sent into panic by fresh allegations
Reform UK leader Nigel Farage faces renewed questions over undeclared financial support linked to convicted fraudster George Cottrell, raising internal concerns about his future leadership as the party slips in the polls. Allies dispute claims he may resign, while Robert Jenrick accuses the media of attempting to undermine Farage amid a potential Labour surge under Andy Burnham. Calls for a parliamentary standards inquiry grow as Farage remains out of the public eye, and scrutiny intensifies over past gifts and support not fully declared. Reform UK’s momentum appears to be weakening despite Farage’s continued ambitions for the premiership.
The Independent
Jul 2026
The betting markets suggest Farage could quit. Without him, Reform are nothing
Betting markets indicate rising expectations that Nigel Farage may resign as Reform UK leader amid scrutiny of large donations, questions about his personal finances and signs of fatigue. Internal divisions and leadership ambitions within Reform UK have intensified as the party’s polling numbers continue to fall from previous highs. Farage’s reduced public visibility and growing controversies have raised concerns about his viability while also highlighting the party’s dependence on his leadership. Historical patterns show Reform UK and its predecessors lose momentum without him, prompting fears of further decline as Labour and the Conservatives show signs of recovery.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Former top Treasury adviser warns that HMRC is close to tracking personal finances with AI
A former Treasury adviser warns that HMRC is approaching the ability to monitor personal financial activity using AI, mirroring practices in Spain’s tax authority. He raises concerns about expanding data collection, limited transparency around algorithms, and insufficient parliamentary scrutiny. Spain’s model, which includes real‑time access to invoices and extensive personal data, is cited as a warning of potential overreach and reduced privacy. The UK’s CONNECT AI system is described as rapidly expanding in scope, while HMRC maintains that its powers are legally defined, subject to safeguards, and support human‑led decision‑making.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Burnham told to consider means-testing state pension to fill defence blackhole
Andy Burnham faces a £4.7bn gap in the defence budget and is weighing options to raise funds without breaking Labour’s tax commitments. Tax expert Dan Neidle proposed 37 possible measures, including means-testing the state pension, which he estimated could save £1bn but warned would be seen as unjust. His preferred solution is extending fiscal drag, projected to raise about £5bn by 2031–32. Additional suggestions include adjusting capital gains tax, implementing an exit tax, increasing inheritance tax, closing stamp duty loopholes and changes to business rates affecting large online retailers.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Is Andy Burnham Labour’s version of Boris Johnson?
Andy Burnham’s rise toward national leadership draws comparisons to Boris Johnson’s trajectory as a popular mayor turned political force, marked by strong instincts, charisma, and organisational chaos. Supporters praise Burnham’s people-focused approach and policy responsiveness, while critics highlight shifting political positions and concerns about his small team and readiness for Downing Street. His evolving political identity and broad factional appeal face tests as he navigates policy compromises and leadership expectations, emerging as Labour’s most popular figure and a candidate positioned to challenge opponents such as Nigel Farage.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Why Andy Burnham’s idea for Gen Z tax breaks should give us hope on Brexit
Andy Burnham’s consideration of tax breaks to help Generation Z build housing deposits is presented as evidence that he is prepared to take bold, unconventional steps and may be open to revisiting Brexit. His willingness to challenge long-standing economic orthodoxies and prioritise younger voters contrasts with the perceived timidity of recent political leaders. While the proposal faces practical hurdles, it signals a broader readiness to address structural issues affecting young people, including the consequences of Brexit. The piece argues that such an approach could pave the way for a stronger pro‑EU direction once he becomes prime minister.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham considers income tax break to help young people onto property ladder
Andy Burnham is exploring a package of measures to support young people, including a potential three‑year income tax exemption for new full‑time workers to help them save for home deposits. The proposal, estimated to cost £3.5bn, would accompany expanded rent‑to‑buy schemes and a nationwide rollout of Manchester’s reduced‑fare public transport model for younger adults. Supporters frame the ideas as efforts to address the widening generational wealth gap, while critics warn of risks such as tax avoidance and fiscal pressures. Burnham is also considering broader reforms, including boosting social housing construction, revising education pathways, expanding youth apprenticeships, and examining tax changes targeting large warehouse‑based companies. Fiscal constraints remain significant as he inherits unresolved defence spending gaps and commitments not to raise major taxes.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Crisis-hit Nigel Farage recruits the man who researched Lord Ashcroft’s book about him to help him save Reform
Nigel Farage has appointed Miles Goslett, a longtime researcher for Michael Ashcroft, as Reform UK's new communications chief amid declining poll numbers and a series of controversies, including donation scrutiny and candidate selection problems. Goslett, who has worked on several critical political books and previously pursued investigations into the BBC, will focus on long-term strategy rather than daily press dealings. Reform UK's recent setbacks include losses in local elections, defeat in the Makerfield by-election, and internal disputes, as the party struggles to maintain momentum after peaking in national polling last year.
The Independent
Jul 2026
Andy Burnham reveals tax plan to save pubs and high streets
Andy Burnham outlined plans to reform business rates by increasing taxes on large warehouse operators such as Amazon while reducing or eliminating rates for pubs and high street shops to support struggling town centres. He reaffirmed commitments not to raise income tax, VAT or national insurance but said the Labour manifesto left room for adjustments to business taxation. Burnham criticized political focus on personalities, emphasized cross-party cooperation on issues such as grooming gangs, and set out principles prioritizing long-term problem solving. Conservative figures warned his comments signalled further tax increases, arguing they would undermine business confidence.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Starmer makes his last stand with a case for the defence
The outgoing prime minister presents a Defence Improvement Plan intended to showcase restored defence investment and economic stability, but the announcement is overshadowed by high‑profile resignations, internal financial disputes and the failure to control welfare spending. Pressure from NATO and the US to increase defence budgets underscores the plan, yet political setbacks and missed opportunities leave it as evidence of weakened leadership rather than a lasting legacy.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Burnham unveils ‘new direction’ for Britain as he promises ‘hope’ in pitch for power
Andy Burnham outlined a decade‑long plan for a more regionally devolved UK, pledging a “No 10 of the North,” a major council‑house building programme, and potential nationalisation efforts. He emphasised unity within Labour and cooperation across parties, drawing praise from MPs across the party spectrum, though concerns persisted about his refusal to take questions and the lack of detail on fiscal powers and taxation. Critics, including Kemi Badenoch, pressed him to clarify his plans before parliament’s recess, while policy experts argued that meaningful devolution would require significant shifts in financial authority away from central government.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Britain must rejoin the EU single market within five years, Sir John Major says
Sir John Major calls for the UK to rejoin the EU single market within five years, arguing Brexit has inflicted severe economic damage and that political leaders misled the public. He criticises Nigel Farage and other Brexit advocates for false promises and warns of the financial consequences highlighted by Bank of England data. Major urges honesty from the next government, supports rebuilding ties with Europe, and stresses that younger generations will drive long-term reintegration. He also questions the transparency of Farage’s £5m donation and dismisses Reform UK’s political offering as negative and uninspiring.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Running buses in Manchester is no preparation for the international stage, Major warns Burnham
John Major warns that Andy Burnham’s experience as Manchester mayor does not prepare him for international leadership and raises concerns about Labour selecting him without a leadership contest. He argues Burnham may move further left on tax and spending, criticises Labour’s welfare and tax policies, and questions the calibre of Labour MPs. Major praises Kemi Badenoch as a growing Conservative leader and supports criticism of VAT increases on private schools. He also faults Rachel Reeves’s economic decisions and warns that tax hikes are driving wealthy individuals to move capital out of the UK.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Who could Burnham pick for his chancellor and cabinet?
Potential cabinet options under an Andy Burnham premiership are outlined, with the chancellor role emerging as the most contested position among Darren Jones, Wes Streeting, Ed Miliband and Shabana Mahmood. Each candidate signals a different economic direction, and concerns about divisiveness shape the speculation. Several female MPs are expected to gain influential posts, including Louise Haigh, Anneliese Midgley, Angela Rayner and Lucy Powell. Possible shifts in defence, foreign affairs and education roles are considered, along with likely departures such as David Lammy and other Starmer allies. Final decisions may include unexpected appointments, with changes anticipated within weeks.
The Independent
Jun 2026
David Lammy asks Amber Rudd to carry out review of UK prisons
David Lammy has appointed former Conservative home secretary Amber Rudd to lead a review of the UK prison system as the Labour government seeks solutions to overcrowding and modern security threats. The review will examine prison safety, modernization, rehabilitation, and the replacement of old facilities. The move continues Labour’s strategy of involving former Tory ministers in cross‑party policy work and echoes Rudd’s earlier request for Lammy to review outcomes for ethnic minority groups. The decision comes during Keir Starmer’s final weeks as prime minister, with Andy Burnham poised as his likely successor and expected to support the review. Questions remain over Lammy’s future in government amid controversy surrounding proposed changes to jury trials.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Andy Burnham edges closer to coronation as leadership rivals struggle to garner support
Andy Burnham is increasingly likely to become UK prime minister without a leadership contest as potential Labour rivals Darren Jones and Al Carns struggle to gather enough MP nominations. Keir Starmer has begun transition discussions with Burnham and authorised government briefings for prospective candidates. Tensions have risen over Starmer’s plan to publish the delayed Defence Investment Plan before leaving office, a move linked to recent ministerial resignations and disputes over defence funding commitments to NATO. Despite concerns among MPs about a coronation-style succession, no substantial challenge has emerged, positioning Burnham to take office shortly after nominations close on 16 July.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Why Andy Burnham might not be worried about charming Donald Trump
Speculation centers on how an anticipated Andy Burnham premiership would navigate relations with Donald Trump, with timing playing a favorable role as Trump approaches a weakened “lame duck” phase following U.S. midterm elections. Burnham is expected to adopt a less deferential stance than his predecessor and maintain firm positions on issues such as North Sea oil and economic reform, despite likely disapproval from Trump. His personal charisma is seen as an advantage, though interactions between the two leaders remain unpredictable. Burnham is also expected to cultivate relationships with potential future U.S. presidential contenders while continuing to prioritize both the transatlantic partnership and rebuilding ties with the EU.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Why did Starmer resign? The key moments of his chaotic two years as prime minister
Keir Starmer resigned as UK prime minister after Labour’s record election losses, internal pressure, and a series of political crises. Andy Burnham’s decisive by-election victory intensified calls for a leadership change. Starmer’s tenure was marked by major resignations, defence spending disputes, scandals involving Peter Mandelson, failed welfare reforms, declining voter support, and mounting challenges from Reform UK. Additional turmoil arose from the “tractor tax,” controversies over undeclared gifts, and difficult relations with the Trump administration amid global conflicts. His departure triggers a Labour leadership contest with Burnham emerging as a key contender.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Starmer announces his resignation as Burnham arrives to become prime minister
Keir Starmer announced his resignation as UK prime minister after losing support from Labour MPs, setting the stage for Andy Burnham to become party leader and likely prime minister later in July. Burnham’s recent by‑election victory and rapid consolidation of parliamentary backing leave him almost certain to run unopposed. Starmer cited achievements in office but acknowledged he could no longer lead, following declining personal ratings and controversy surrounding Peter Mandelson. Labour’s National Executive Committee will confirm the leadership timetable, while Reform UK’s Nigel Farage called for a snap election.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Keir Starmer resigns as prime minister – two years after landslide election victory
Keir Starmer resigned as UK prime minister after losing the confidence of Labour MPs following months of turmoil tied to the Peter Mandelson scandal, plummeting approval ratings and internal disputes over welfare and defence policies. His departure triggers a Labour leadership contest in which Andy Burnham is viewed as the leading contender. The decision follows revelations about Mandelson’s ties to Epstein and failures in security vetting that damaged trust in the government. Starmer pledged an orderly transition and will remain in office until a successor is chosen before Parliament returns in September.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Starmer finally shows some emotion – but it’s too little, too late
Keir Starmer’s emotional resignation marks the end of a premiership damaged by loss of authority, internal dissent and the fallout from the Mandelson scandal. Despite citing achievements in stabilising the economy and reviving Labour, he failed to regain the confidence of his MPs. Andy Burnham is widely expected to succeed him following the Makerfield by-election. The party now faces the challenge of uniting under new leadership and recovering its political standing.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Starmer on the brink: PM and Burnham ‘working towards’ handover in September
Keir Starmer is under intense pressure from Labour MPs and senior ministers to announce a timetable for his resignation, with discussions underway for Andy Burnham to assume the Labour leadership and become prime minister as early as September. Cabinet ministers including Yvette Cooper, Ed Miliband and Shabana Mahmood have urged him to go, while allies of Burnham and potential leadership rival Wes Streeting are exploring possible arrangements. Over 100 Labour MPs have publicly called for Starmer’s departure following Burnham’s strong by-election performance in Makerfield. Opposition figures warn of potential market instability under a Burnham premiership, while internal critics describe growing dissatisfaction with Starmer’s leadership approach.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Reform refuses to appear on Sunday shows as Farage ally admits it has ‘a woman problem’
Reform UK faces internal criticism after a heavy defeat in Makerfield, with senior ally Gawain Towler warning the party must address a growing ‘woman problem’ tied to candidate Robert Kenyon’s sexist online remarks. The party declined appearances on major Sunday political shows despite invitations from Sky and GB News. Pressure is reportedly mounting on Nigel Farage to adjust campaign strategy and reconsider the role of Zia Yusuf, whose rhetoric is alienating key voter groups. Concerns persist over poor candidate selection, limited policies and tactical missteps as the party reassesses its approach following the by‑election loss.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Starmer given deadline: Quit by Tuesday or face humiliation
Senior Labour figures are pressuring Keir Starmer to present a timetable for his resignation by Tuesday, warning he risks humiliation if he resists. Support for Andy Burnham is rapidly consolidating, with MPs organizing a potential uncontested transition and urging Wes Streeting not to run in exchange for a senior role. Several cabinet ministers and prominent Labour figures have publicly stated Starmer lacks authority, while others argue that a swift change is necessary for stability. Burnham’s recent by-election win has intensified calls for Starmer to step aside, although Downing Street denies he is preparing to resign. Internal discussions continue as MPs debate how to manage the transition and its implications for a potential general election.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Labour grandees turning on Starmer marks the painful end of his premiership
Senior Labour Party figures, including Charlie Falconer, Harriet Harman and Alan Johnson, are urging Keir Starmer to resign as support shifts decisively toward Andy Burnham following his strong performance against Reform UK. More than 100 Labour MPs and several ministers have privately pressed Starmer to step aside, arguing that a leadership contest would be damaging and that Burnham is now the inevitable successor. Starmer’s position has weakened rapidly despite his large electoral victory less than two years ago, with his inability to counter Reform UK’s rise contributing to his isolation and internal pressure for a swift leadership transition.
The Independent
Jun 2026
The inside story of how Kemi Badenoch masterminded ‘a heist’ in ‘the forgotten by-election’
Kemi Badenoch’s team concentrated resources on the Aberdeen South by-election, aiming for a quiet but strategic win against the SNP while allowing attention to remain on other contests. Conservative strategists framed the race around North Sea oil and gas policy and capitalized on internal SNP difficulties. Douglas Lumsden secured a decisive victory, delivering a significant boost to Badenoch’s leadership amid low national polling and rising pressure from Reform UK. The result demonstrated voter willingness to tactically support Conservatives and marked a rare and morale-boosting success for the party in Scotland.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Ministers turn on Starmer as Labour MPs demand Burnham ‘coronation’ as PM
Senior Labour figures are pressuring Keir Starmer to resign following Andy Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by‑election win, arguing that Burnham should assume party leadership without a contested race. Multiple ministers and MPs, including former allies, are urging Starmer to set a departure timetable, while Burnham’s victory speech set out an agenda focused on economic reform, reindustrialisation and education. Starmer is resisting calls to quit but is considering his position over the weekend. Growing support from Labour MPs and trade union leaders signals momentum toward a rapid leadership transition, as many in the party warn that delaying could damage Labour’s governing prospects.
The Independent
Jun 2026
Reform cannot win a general election – and Makerfield has shown us why
Reform UK’s heavy defeat in the Makerfield by‑election illustrates deep structural weaknesses that prevent the party from converting national polling into parliamentary power. Reliance on Nigel Farage’s personality, limited policy depth, links to crypto donors, and controversial candidate selections have driven negative perceptions and encouraged tactical voting across the political spectrum. Internal divisions, pressure from the right by Restore Britain, and poor appeal to women further undermine the party. Meanwhile, Andy Burnham’s decisive win demonstrates how coordinated anti‑Reform voting can be mobilized, leaving Reform vulnerable to winning large vote shares but very few seats under the first‑past‑the‑post system.