Jakub Dziadkowiec

Gold rose nearly 2% to $4,155 and broke above a descending trendline that had constrained rallies since its February all-time high. The move followed an unusually tight Bollinger Band squeeze, suggesting a potentially larger price movement, while improving RSI momentum supports a bullish interpretation. Resistance lies between $4,300 and $4,400, with the $4,333 Fibonacci retracement and the 52-week moving average near $4,312 acting as key barriers. Support is concentrated around $3,900–$4,000, and a close below $3,900 would undermine the bullish structure. Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls report is the main near-term catalyst because stronger employment could increase expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike, lift Treasury yields and reduce gold’s appeal.

Unibase, Cardano, and Algorand recorded the strongest seven-day gains among the highlighted altcoins in early August 2026, rising 61%, 24%, and 13%, respectively. Unibase is testing resistance near $0.1928 after a major breakout, but declining volume and an RSI near 70 raise caution. Cardano faces key resistance around $0.20, with rising volume, stronger momentum, a recent upgrade, and the upcoming Dijkstra era providing the most constructive setup. Algorand’s rebound from $0.08 remains a corrective bounce within a broader downtrend; a sustained recovery above $0.1024 would be needed to signal a longer-term bullish reversal.

Benjamin Cowen says the total cryptocurrency market is trading 62.49% below his logarithmic-regression estimate of fair value, its deepest discount since 2010. Despite this apparent undervaluation, he expects Bitcoin to face another period of weakness within two to three weeks, potentially driven by midterm-year seasonality, rising bond yields and fading retail interest. Cowen projects that a market-cycle bottom could form around November, although a prolonged four-year cycle could delay recovery until 2027. He favors dollar-cost averaging over attempting to identify the exact low and maintains a long-term cryptocurrency market-cap target of roughly $10 trillion.

The European Union has begun enforcing the AI Act’s transparency rules, requiring chatbots to identify themselves and businesses to label AI-generated or manipulated images, audio, video, and certain public-interest text. The European Commission’s AI Office and national regulators can now investigate violations and impose penalties of up to €35 million or 7% of global annual turnover. Machine-readable watermarks for synthetic content are due by December 2026, while obligations for high-risk systems in hiring, credit, law enforcement, and regulated products have been postponed to 2027 and 2028. Personal, non-professional social-media use is generally excluded, but commercial and professional AI use—including crypto-related bots and promotional media—falls within the disclosure requirements.

US technology funds recorded roughly $19 billion in weekly inflows, the largest five-week inflow period on record, while 2026 technology inflows are projected to reach about $152 billion. Deutsche Bank says the rotation may be in its early stages and favors hyperscalers, despite sharp recent declines in the Magnificent Seven ETF and semiconductor stocks. The Nasdaq Composite has rebounded for three consecutive sessions and is testing a downtrend line near 25,790, but must clear resistance at 26,000–26,400 to target its June record of 27,190. A rejection could send the index toward support at 24,707 or the deeper 23,173 Fibonacci retracement. Upcoming earnings, US labor-market data and scrutiny of Big Tech’s AI spending could determine whether the inflow-driven rebound becomes a sustained breakout.

Quantum money uses the quantum no-cloning theorem to create digital tokens that cannot be copied or forged, potentially eliminating the need for banks, global ledgers, and blockchain consensus. The concept originated with Stephen Wiesner in the 1960s and later influenced the BB84 protocol and public-key quantum-money research. Stefano Gogioso and Daniela Herrmann argue that physics-based security could remain robust even against highly capable AI attackers, while acknowledging that fragile quantum memory remains the main barrier. Current systems can preserve quantum states for only seconds, but laboratory demonstrations and advancing hardware suggest limited applications may emerge within five to seven years.

UNUS SED LEO, WhiteBIT Coin, and Rain are identified as altcoins approaching their previous all-time highs ahead of the first weekend of August. LEO is 6.5% below its record and needs to break above a descending channel, with a potential target of $10.73. WBT is 13.6% below its high and must reclaim $58 resistance before targeting $64.43. RAIN is 19.7% below its record and faces the greatest risk, as it must hold support near $0.013 or potentially fall toward $0.008. Declining volume suggests possible accumulation for all three, but RAIN’s weak RSI and thin weekend liquidity add uncertainty.

Seasonal comparisons with the 2014, 2018, and 2022 bear markets suggest Bitcoin could fall to about $46,000 in September 2026 and potentially $35,000 by early 2027. However, on-chain indicators point to a maturing market that may already be near a generational bottom: long-term holders are absorbing more supply than miners issue, Bitcoin’s Price Temperature is near zero, and valuation measures are near historical low levels. Cost-basis compression has not yet reached the level associated with past bottoms, leaving room for additional downside. The article identifies a likely Q4 2026 bottom window around $44,000–$47,000, while treating $35,000 as a more extreme seasonal scenario. Traders are advised to watch the holder cost-basis ratio, accumulation metrics, and weekly closes below $44,000, while recognizing that historical patterns can be disrupted by macroeconomic shocks.

Ethereum whale addresses have risen from multi-month lows while U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a third consecutive week of inflows, adding $103.9 million in the week ending July 24. ETH is holding above a broken descending trendline and trading near $1,963, but active addresses remain well below earlier 2026 peaks and declining volume leaves the recovery unconfirmed. A sustained daily close above the psychologically important $2,000 level could target $2,438, while rejection may send ETH back toward $1,754 or the broken trendline near $1,600.

Global government bond yields have climbed to their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, with the Bloomberg Global Treasury Index reaching 3.68% ahead of policy decisions by the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan and Bank of England. Strong U.S. economic data, reduced Fed guidance and renewed inflation concerns have shifted markets from expecting rate cuts toward pricing a meaningful chance of a July hike. Rising yields have hurt long-duration bond funds and increased pressure on equities, corporate borrowers and heavily indebted governments. Bitcoin has remained near $65,000, though its resilience will depend partly on how central banks communicate and act.

BeInCrypto identifies WhiteBIT Coin, Hyperliquid and Tron as altcoins that could approach or reach new all-time highs over the weekend. WBT is about 12% below its record and needs to reclaim $58 while holding support near $55.93. HYPE is 24% below its June peak and must defend $55.41 after pressure from a $291 million unstaking event involving Multicoin and Paradigm. TRX has the strongest chart, forming an ascending triangle between support near $0.3101 and resistance at $0.3359, with a projected target of $0.3611. Declining volume suggests accumulation across all three, but the scenarios depend on breakouts, support holding and broader Bitcoin market conditions.

Quantum-computing experts Stefano Gogioso and Daniela Herrmann warn that the cryptocurrency industry should prepare for a Bitcoin-breaking quantum computer without waiting for a precise forecast. Recent Google research has reduced estimates for breaking Bitcoin’s secp256k1 cryptography to fewer than 500,000 physical qubits, with a potential attack taking roughly nine minutes—close to Bitcoin’s average block interval. Because migration to quantum-resistant cryptography could take years, even a small probability of a breakthrough by 2030 justifies action. Ethereum has begun developing a post-quantum roadmap, while Bitcoin lacks a central governance body to coordinate migration. The experts argue that the greatest danger would be a sudden collapse of market confidence after a single vulnerable coin is compromised.

Fund managers in Bank of America’s July survey identify gold as the most undervalued asset since March 2023 following a sharp price drawdown and a recent rebound from the $3,900–$4,000 support zone. Cash levels among managers have dropped to contrarian sell‑signal territory, while gold remains an uncrowded outlier. Technical indicators show improving momentum, though the price continues to trade below a key descending trendline, with resistance at $4,300–$4,400 and potential downside toward $3,552 if rejected. Upcoming Federal Reserve decisions and a proposed US‑Iran truce are positioned as near‑term catalysts for gold’s direction.

Dogecoin trades near its lowest level since late 2023 as a whale purchase of 200 million DOGE and a rare Elon Musk meme interaction spur speculation about a potential reversal. Despite increased futures activity and technical buy signals, institutional participation remains weak, with spot ETF inflows flat for weeks and total assets around $20 million. The price sits at a key long‑term support zone after retracing nearly all gains from the previous cycle, and a breakout above $0.082 could open the path toward $0.10 and higher resistance levels. Failure to hold $0.07 risks a drop toward $0.0556, leaving the market at a critical juncture between breaking a 19‑month downtrend or revisiting 2023 lows.

Growing crypto wealth continues flowing into longevity research as two recent studies from Korea and Japan boosted interest, though neither supports viral claims that humans could reach a 250‑year lifespan. The Korean study showed a compound that improved protein cleanup in fruit flies, while the Japanese study identified a protein that locks cells in an aged state and demonstrated cellular rejuvenation in lab dishes. Both remain early‑stage and far from human application. Crypto figures such as Vitalik Buterin have driven significant philanthropic and venture funding into anti‑aging science, but real breakthroughs will depend on long‑term evidence rather than viral exaggerations.

Venice Token breaks a six‑week downtrend with an 11% rise to $12.84, supported by a leading RSI breakout and strong hourly volume. Technical indicators point to $14 as the next major resistance, with a successful break opening the path toward $16.80. Failure to hold $12 would invalidate the bullish structure. A new buy‑and‑burn mechanism from Venice AI may help strengthen fundamentals as supply tightens.

Silver rebounded more than 4% after breaking out of a two‑month descending channel, helped by easing oil-driven inflation concerns following renewed US‑Iran diplomatic signals. Technical indicators, including a double bottom near $55 and bullish RSI divergence, support a potential rise toward the 0.618 Fibonacci target around $68. A stronger dollar remains a key risk, and a return below $55 could expose deeper support near $49.81. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike remain elevated as supply deficits and rising physical investment continue to underpin silver’s longer-term outlook.

An AI system designed to detect poker bluffs debuted on ESPN’s World Series of Poker coverage, using computer vision to analyze blink rate, eye gaze, posture, and chip handling. Built by AI engineer Luke Geel and applied only to already eliminated players, the tool sparked debate, with some players calling it cheating and others viewing it as a way to study personal tells. Interest from players in using the model for opponent analysis and concerns about broader applications to negotiations or hiring highlight both potential benefits and ethical risks, leaving its future dependent on audience reception.

LEO Token, WhiteBIT Coin and Rain trade close to their all‑time highs, with each requiring a key resistance level break to continue upward momentum. LEO sits nearest its record and shows accumulating volume, while WBT must reclaim its former channel boundary near 58. Rain lags after rejection from resistance and weakening momentum. Success or failure at these levels will determine weekend direction, with broader market sentiment, particularly Bitcoin’s behavior, likely to influence outcomes.

Gold trades below 4000 dollars, down 28 percent from its January peak, as the first red weekly Gaussian channel bar since 2023 signals a potential bear market. Rising oil prices, higher inflation expectations, and growing odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike continue to pressure gold despite escalating US‑Iran tensions. The breakdown below key Fibonacci levels reinforces bearish structure, while daily RSI divergence suggests a possible short‑term rebound toward the 4300–4400 resistance zone. A rejection would expose deeper support near 3552 dollars, with upcoming Fed decisions and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz likely determining the next major move.

Ethereum broke above a long‑standing descending trendline as futures open interest surged to $19.8 billion, signaling renewed trader participation. Short liquidations dominated recent activity, suggesting a potential short squeeze, while long liquidations fell to a yearly low. Key structural support between $1,600 and $1,754 held, with resistance now concentrated in the $1,900 to $2,000 zone. A confirmed breakout above this range on rising volume could open a path toward $2,438, while failure to sustain demand risks a return to major support levels.

Most crypto brands fail due to indistinguishable messaging rather than weak technology, according to Ogilvy Spain CEO Jordi Urbea. He argues that sameness in advertising causes new projects to disappear in a crowded market dominated by Bitcoin and Ethereum. Data from CB Insights and other research shows that communication and market-fit failures are leading causes of startup collapse. Urbea recommends building unique branding and language instead of copying competitors, noting that distinctiveness improves consumer recall and willingness to pay. Research from Kantar and marketing science supports the value of unique brand identity, especially as automation increases content saturation.

Brent crude oil rose nearly 11 percent to 83.31 dollars as renewed US-Iran strikes and a US plan to assert control over the Strait of Hormuz sharply reduced vessel traffic and heightened supply risks. Market momentum strengthened with a breakout in the daily RSI, supporting an ongoing recovery from the 71–73 dollar support zone. Price action now targets resistance at 90–92 dollars, a key level that will determine whether the current rally reverses or restores the earlier bullish trend. Geopolitical tensions continue to elevate the risk premium as Iran keeps the strait contested.

ADI, DEXE and RAIN trade near record levels, with ADI extending through multiple Fibonacci targets despite an overbought RSI, DEXE supported by a bullish RSI breakout as it approaches the next extension at $38.09, and RAIN needing to reclaim $0.015 to target its own extension levels. Strong weekend moves above key thresholds would affirm bullish continuation, while failures at these points could shift momentum back to sellers.

Tesla shares trade near 394 dollars as a weekly cup and handle pattern targets 759 dollars if price breaks above 470 dollars, while a daily symmetrical triangle keeps the stock confined between 415 and 380 dollars. A confirmed weekly close above 470 dollars could trigger a major move higher, while a break below 380 dollars risks exposing 350 dollars and invalidating both bullish patterns. Institutional positioning is mixed, and recent legal clarity following approval of Elon Musk’s SEC settlement removes an overhang. Compressed volume and neutral momentum indicate an imminent decisive move as price nears technical boundaries.

Meme coin activity on Robinhood’s new layer-2 chain has surged, driven by CEO Vlad Tenev’s endorsement and record DEX volume. ARROW leads with a sharp rally but faces selling pressure, TENDIES maintains its breakout with community support, and DIH tries to stabilize after a major pullback. Despite isolated winners, thousands of tokens have already collapsed, highlighting persistent liquidity and rug‑pull risks. Live liquidity around ARROW, TENDIES, and DIH will determine whether they sustain momentum as more projects migrate to the network.

Bitcoin’s current bear market has entered a historically significant 91‑day period that ended previous cycle bottoms, with each past cycle showing progressively smaller final‑quarter drawdowns. A linear regression of prior declines projects a potential 26.6% drop from the recent high, suggesting a bottom near $47,000, while a logarithmic Fibonacci retracement indicates a similar support zone around $44,400. Both models align on an expected bottom window in early October 2026. Market maturity, increased liquidity, and institutional participation are credited for moderating each cycle’s final decline. The analysis notes that macroeconomic shocks or ETF flows could shift outcomes but frames $44,000 to $47,000 as the key region to watch.

Strategy, Metaplanet, and Coinbase are each testing major long‑term support levels that could determine whether the broader Bitcoin‑treasury trade stabilizes or continues to unwind. MSTR trades near the critical $100 zone after an extended decline, Metaplanet holds above ¥200 following a large boom‑and‑bust cycle, and Coinbase shows relative strength by maintaining support at $150. Their nearest resistance levels—$170 for MSTR, ¥600 for Metaplanet, and $200 for Coinbase—define the thresholds that bulls must reclaim to shift momentum. The ability of these support zones to hold will guide the next directional move for crypto‑linked equities this quarter.

Gold trades near $4,140, pressured by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike, a stronger dollar, reduced safe‑haven demand, ETF outflows, and investor rotation into technology stocks. Inflation driven by the Iran Strait of Hormuz blockade has reversed expectations for monetary easing, raising holding costs for gold. Technical charts show a sustained downtrend, with a potential head‑and‑shoulders breakdown targeting $2,575 to $2,750 if support fails. Key resistance lies between $4,300 and $4,400, while support around $3,300 to $3,400 could be tested. July direction hinges on Fed minutes and progress on a US‑Iran deal that could lower energy prices and shift rate expectations.

Semiconductor stocks dominated the first half of 2026, outperforming Big Tech and cryptocurrencies as capital flowed into AI infrastructure. Major banks diverge on the outlook, with Goldman Sachs expecting continued chip-sector strength while Morgan Stanley anticipates a rotation back toward hyperscalers. Crypto assets lagged sharply, though tokens tied to computing power showed relative resilience. Analysts warn that shifts in capital allocation during the second half will determine whether chip momentum continues and whether any rotation eventually benefits Bitcoin or other digital assets.

XRP’s Binance Scarcity Index has climbed to 0.77, reflecting a two-year high driven by a 20% drop in exchange reserves since late 2024. Coin outflows from Binance suggest reduced sell-side supply, while derivatives data indicates that shorts were squeezed near the $1 level, contributing to the rebound toward $1.13. The next key resistance lies at $1.20, with a potential move toward $1.35–$1.40 if broken, though declining volume signals limited spot demand. A fall below $1.00 would undermine the recovery structure despite thinning exchange supply supporting prices above $1.04.