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Kenneth Roth
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The Guardian
Aug 2026
Donald Trump’s Spying on Leftwing Groups Recalls J. Edgar Hoover’s COINTELPRO
The Trump administration is accused of using the Department of Homeland Security to investigate and surveil progressive and mainstream groups opposing its Minnesota deportation campaign. The operation, including subpoenas, undercover agents, Signal-chat infiltration and protest monitoring, is portrayed as a politically motivated fishing expedition that echoes the FBI’s COINTELPRO abuses against leftist organizations. The administration has charged some activists with obstructing immigration operations, although similar cases have frequently been dismissed and the groups under investigation have not been criminally charged. Courts, grand juries, state prosecutors, journalists and civic groups have limited or exposed parts of the campaign, but the administration’s continuing efforts to evade legal constraints make public resistance and scrutiny essential.
The Guardian
Aug 2026
Trump’s University ‘Compact’ Is Gone. That Doesn’t Mean the Assault on Education Is Over
The Trump administration abandoned its proposed Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education after universities broadly rejected its conditions, which included restrictions on admissions and hiring preferences, protest, gender policy, foreign enrollment and institutional speech. The withdrawal does not end the administration’s campaign to influence universities: it continues to threaten grants, accreditation, student visas, tax measures and financial penalties while urging universities to publicly commit to reforms aligned with its priorities. Universities have taken differing approaches, from Harvard’s litigation to Yale’s negotiations, but concessions have not guaranteed protection. Collective resistance remains necessary because universities’ research, expertise and public debate are essential to democratic accountability.
The Guardian
Jul 2026
Why would Trump agree to the Saudi nuclear deal?
Donald Trump’s nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia grants Riyadh uranium enrichment options that he has long denied to Iran, undermining US leverage in the ongoing conflict and raising proliferation risks. The deal appears driven by financial incentives for the US nuclear industry and Trump’s desire to bolster a strained alliance damaged by his war with Iran. Continued US bombing has escalated regional tensions, disrupted Gulf security and weakened arguments for the conflict, while Congress faces pressure to fund a costly and unpopular war. The article argues that the war lacks justification and should be ended.
The Guardian
Jul 2026
Why does the US want to ‘dismantle’ the International Criminal Court?
Kenneth Roth argues that the Trump administration’s campaign to dismantle the International Criminal Court is driven less by concerns about US sovereignty than by a desire to shield American officials from prosecution for war crimes. He rejects Marco Rubio’s claim that the ICC could arbitrarily prosecute US officials, explaining that the court generally relies on territorial jurisdiction when crimes occur in member states. The article highlights Washington’s inconsistent stance: supporting territorial jurisdiction when the ICC charged Vladimir Putin, but condemning it when the court charged Benjamin Netanyahu and Yoav Gallant. Roth contends that this jurisdiction is crucial for addressing atrocities in places including Ukraine, Gaza, Sudan and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and warns that proposed US sanctions and pressure on ICC partners would undermine international accountability.
The Guardian
Jul 2026
Trump is a danger to US democracy. But the resistance is working
Dangerous efforts by Donald Trump to erode democratic restraints have advanced but increasingly face strong resistance from courts, media, civil society, universities and public protest. Congress has largely enabled him, while the Supreme Court has issued mixed rulings that still block key overreaches. Independent media outlets and nonprofits remain vital checks despite pressure and interference. Universities and law firms have pushed back against attempts to undermine academic freedom and legal independence. Public demonstrations and legal challenges show broad opposition, and polling suggests significant electoral backlash. Democratic institutions remain under strain but resilient, requiring active defense of core values of rule of law, equality and civic unity.
The Guardian
Jun 2026
A generational shift is transforming the US-Israel relationship
Shifting US public opinion and widening political divides have eroded long-standing bipartisan support for Israel, driven by outrage over the Gaza war, Netanyahu’s confrontational strategy, and the fallout from the conflict with Iran. Younger Americans, including evangelicals, increasingly view Israel negatively, reshaping Democratic politics and complicating Republican alignment. Trump and Biden diverge in their dealings with Netanyahu, while Israel’s regional actions and domestic politics further strain ties. Without unconditional US backing, Israel would face pressure to reassess its occupation policies, and any future government seeking rehabilitation might need to break sharply from Netanyahu’s approach.
The Guardian
Jun 2026
Trump’s war accomplished nothing – the Iran deal is proof
The agreement between the United States and Iran exposes the strategic failures of Donald Trump’s decision to wage war, yielding a weaker position than existed before the conflict. The deal fails to secure stronger nuclear restrictions than those established under Barack Obama, omits major issues such as ballistic missiles and Iran’s regional military activities, and effectively rewards Iran with sanctions relief and economic incentives that were already attainable without military action. Iran emerges with leverage, particularly regarding the Strait of Hormuz, while Israel faces pressure to halt its operations in Lebanon. The aftermath reinforces the limits of military force and underscores the value of diplomacy.
The Guardian
Jun 2026
Trump had no plan B for Iran. It shows
Trump’s decision to abandon negotiations with Iran in favor of war left the United States with depleted leverage, rising global economic risks, and no progress on curbing Iran’s nuclear capabilities. Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile grew after Trump withdrew from the JCPOA, and the subsequent conflict strengthened Iranian hardliners and destabilized the Strait of Hormuz, driving up energy prices. As Trump seeks a new ceasefire and memorandum of understanding, Iran is demanding concessions previously off the table, while Israel’s actions in Lebanon complicate the regional picture. The analysis urges a return to diplomacy, adherence to international law, and a realistic strategy focused on limiting Iran’s nuclear capacity through inspections and controlled enrichment rather than military escalation.
The Guardian
May 2026
The ICC’s investigation of its chief prosecutor has been a failure
The investigation into ICC chief prosecutor Karim Khan is criticized for failing to make factual findings on allegations of sexual misconduct, leaving a credibility void that prevented judges from reaching substantive conclusions. The UN Office of Internal Oversight Services is faulted for not assessing conflicting testimony, resulting in an incomplete record that the Assembly of States Parties must now address. Political pressures surrounding the Israel‑Palestine case have complicated state responses, with governments aligning for or against Khan based on geopolitical interests rather than the allegations themselves. A prompt, credible determination is urged to ensure justice for the complainant and restore effective leadership at the court.
The Guardian
Apr 2026
Nine lessons for the US from Viktor Orbán’s defeat
Hungary’s rejection of Viktor Orbán offers strategic lessons for Americans concerned about rising autocratic tendencies. A unified opposition, centrist campaigning, and a focus on economic issues helped Péter Magyar defeat an entrenched incumbent despite structural advantages built to favor Orbán. The risks of divisiveness, electoral manipulation, and reliance on sycophants are highlighted, as is the importance of independent institutions and external democratic support. The outcome underscores that autocracy is reversible and signals political vulnerabilities for Trump-aligned Republicans ahead of upcoming US elections.
The Guardian
Apr 2026
Trump’s war has emboldened Iran. Diplomacy is the only solution
Negotiations between the United States and Iran have stalled, exposing the failures of Trump’s military strategy, which has strengthened Iranian hardliners and advanced Iran’s nuclear position. Israel’s influence and Trump’s abandonment of the 2015 nuclear deal worsened the situation, while Iran now leverages control over the Strait of Hormuz for economic and political power. Rising oil prices, domestic political pressure, and strategic miscalculations have weakened Trump’s position, making diplomacy the only viable path. Negotiation remains possible but requires compromise and a departure from Trump’s unilateral approach.
The Guardian
Apr 2026
If Trump commits war crimes in Iran, he can be prosecuted
Trump’s public threats to destroy civilian infrastructure in Iran would constitute war crimes under international humanitarian law. Although the US Supreme Court has granted broad immunity for presidential acts, other US officials could still face prosecution for obeying unlawful orders, and Trump himself could be prosecuted internationally. The ICC could gain jurisdiction if Iran joins and grants retroactive authority, though Tehran may hesitate due to its own exposure. Universal jurisdiction offers another path but excludes sitting heads of state in national courts, leaving international tribunals as the strongest option. A coalition of governments, such as EU or NATO members, could create a special tribunal enabling immediate prosecution. While politically unlikely, such action is urged as a necessary check on Trump’s threatened illegality.
The Guardian
Apr 2026
Trump’s surreal speech on Iran shed no light on his goals
Trump’s speech on the Iran war failed to articulate any clear purpose for continuing the conflict despite his claims of military success. He ignored central issues such as Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and the consequences of abandoning the Obama-era nuclear deal. His shifting justifications, refusal to outline achievable goals, and threats of further escalation underscore a lack of coherent strategy. The continued bombing is portrayed as destructive without military necessity, influenced by political pressures and regional actors who benefit from Iran’s instability. The absence of a viable diplomatic plan leaves the conflict’s rationale unclear and highlights concerns about Trump’s leadership and decision-making.
The Guardian
Mar 2026
Want to understand why Trump is still bombing Iran? Look to Nixon and Vietnam
Draws a parallel between Donald Trump’s ongoing bombing campaign in Iran and Richard Nixon’s pursuit of “peace with honor” in Vietnam, arguing that both leaders escalated conflicts to protect their political reputations. Notes that Iran’s military capabilities are already largely degraded and contends that continued strikes lack strategic rationale. Warns that targeting Iran’s electrical infrastructure would constitute a war crime and suggests that de-escalation through a ceasefire offers a more promising path. Concludes that Trump seeks a face‑saving exit rather than a military victory, raising concerns about the human and economic costs of prolonging the conflict.
The Guardian
Mar 2026
Trump needs to reject Netanyahu’s quest for a forever war
Mounting civilian casualties, economic fallout and unclear objectives have left the US-Israeli bombing campaign in Iran strategically counterproductive, reinforcing hardliners rather than weakening the regime. Israeli strikes, including the killing of Ali Larijani, have narrowed prospects for de-escalation, while Iran’s asymmetric responses have disrupted global energy flows and heightened regional instability. International support for the offensive remains low, Nato allies reject Trump’s demands, and public opinion in democratic nations has shifted sharply against the US and Israel. As political and economic costs rise ahead of the US midterms, ending the conflict and rejecting Netanyahu’s push for an indefinite war is presented as the only viable path forward.
The Guardian
Mar 2026
Trump and Netanyahu's attack on Iran is an illegal act of aggression
The US-Israeli attack on Iran is characterized as an unlawful act of aggression lacking self-defense justification under international law, drawing comparisons to other state-led invasions such as those by Russia and Rwanda. The article argues that diplomatic negotiations with Iran were prematurely abandoned and that domestic political pressures influenced the decision to launch the strike, which resulted in the killing of Iran’s supreme leader. The reaction from European allies has been restrained, reflecting concerns about the erosion of international norms and the potential global consequences of legitimizing preventive war. The attack is seen as strengthening arguments used by authoritarian leaders, risking wider destabilization, and offering little likelihood of producing democratic change within Iran while heightening the dangers of international conflict.
The Guardian
Feb 2026
Autocracy is rising in the west. But the global south proves it’s not inevitable
Argues that despite rising support for autocratic movements in the west, widespread pro-democracy activism in the global south demonstrates strong resistance to authoritarianism. Highlights economic frustration and political alienation as drivers of western far-right support, while contrasting this with popular uprisings against autocrats in countries such as Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Brazil and Hong Kong. Describes the vulnerabilities and failures of autocratic systems, from corruption to economic stagnation, and contrasts them with the successes of democratic societies. Concludes that democracy remains widely desired and that strengthening its legitimacy in the west is essential.
The Guardian
Feb 2026
International humanitarian law is at risk – but it still carries weight
International humanitarian law faces severe threats from atrocities in Gaza, Ukraine, Sudan and eastern DR Congo, yet global reactions show it remains intact despite inconsistencies. UN bodies, the International Court of Justice and the International Criminal Court have issued condemnations, launched investigations and pursued charges against leaders including Netanyahu and Putin, although political vetoes and uneven responses weaken enforcement. Key obstacles include US support for Israel, inadequate pressure on Rwanda and the UAE, and leadership paralysis at the ICC due to allegations against its chief prosecutor. Despite shortcomings, widespread condemnation of violations and ongoing legal processes indicate that the laws protecting civilians still carry weight and require more consistent international commitment.
The Guardian
Jan 2026
Two are dead in Minneapolis. Trump is to blame
Two protesters, Renee Good and Alex Pretti, were killed by federal immigration agents during deportation raids in Minneapolis despite video evidence showing neither posed a threat. Senior Trump officials, including Stephen Miller and Kristi Noem, defended the agents’ actions and labeled Pretti a domestic terrorist, contradicting recordings of the events. The administration has resisted criminal investigations, removed an operations commander without addressing broader misconduct, and maintained a pattern of justifying lethal force. Public anger has grown as evidence shows unnecessary escalation by agents and politically motivated attempts to suppress accountability. The deaths have intensified scrutiny of Trump’s approach to immigration enforcement and contributed to declining public support.
The Guardian
Jan 2026
Here’s how to fix America’s immigration system. Trump’s path is not the solution
Proposes a bipartisan immigration deal combining stronger border enforcement and expanded asylum processing with a statute of limitations allowing long-term undocumented immigrants to remain. Argues that Trump’s elimination of asylum access and nationwide deportation raids are harmful, while rapid asylum adjudication and protection for established immigrants would better address public concerns and political realities.
The Guardian
Jan 2026
What would happen if every state acted like Donald Trump’s America?
Argues that Donald Trump’s embrace of power politics and disregard for international law threatens to erode global norms against aggression, prompting allies and emerging powers to recalibrate their alliances in destabilizing ways. Warns that weakening international institutions and promoting coercive spheres of influence would undermine US strategic, economic and security interests while empowering rivals such as China and Russia. Highlights potential regional conflicts, especially in Africa and Asia, and stresses that resisting the normalization of lawlessness is essential to preserving stability and human rights globally.
The Guardian
Jan 2026
Trump’s Venezuela invasion sets a perilous precedent
The article argues that Donald Trump’s invasion of Venezuela is an illegal act of aggression that undermines international law and sets a dangerous precedent that other major powers could exploit. It rejects drug trafficking and humanitarian justifications for the intervention, highlighting inconsistencies in US policy and the risks of destabilization. Reactions from Russia, China, and European leaders reveal hypocrisy and strategic self-interest, while the move threatens the norms that protect smaller states from powerful aggressors. The analysis warns that abandoning the rules-based order could ultimately harm the United States as global power shifts.
The Guardian
Dec 2025
All of the deadly US strikes on alleged drug boats are murders
US strikes on alleged drug‑running boats are portrayed as unlawful killings lacking any basis in armed‑conflict law, with the attacks—especially a double‑tap strike that killed two unarmed survivors—framed as murders. Claims that an armed conflict exists with drug cartels are dismissed as unfounded, rendering Trump’s authorization of lethal force illegitimate. Congressional scrutiny is growing as officials who viewed the classified video dispute Pentagon justifications. The commentary warns that allowing a president to invent armed conflicts poses grave risks to rule of law and could set a precedent for authoritarian abuses by leaders globally.
The Guardian
Nov 2025
Zohran Mamdani is rewriting the political rules around support for Israel
The decisive New York mayoral victory of Zohran Mamdani signals a major political shift in American attitudes toward Israel, breaking long-standing taboos against criticizing Israeli policy. His outspoken condemnation of Israel’s actions in Gaza and calls for equal rights for all residents of Israel attracted substantial Jewish voter support despite attacks from opponents. Mamdani’s stance is influencing other progressive candidates and reflects broader declining US enthusiasm for Israel amid international accusations of genocide and war crimes. As US political sentiment shifts, Israel’s reliance on American support faces new constraints, raising pressure on Washington to consider pathways toward a Palestinian state and reshaping expectations for future US–Israel policy dynamics.