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Lebanon faces a deepening crisis driven by Iranian Revolutionary Guard control over Hezbollah and Israeli exploitation of the militia’s presence in the south to reshape border areas and prevent displaced residents from returning. The article argues that Iran’s succession process after Ali Khamenei’s death reflects full Revolutionary Guard dominance and that Hezbollah has effectively been taken over, weakening Lebanon’s political autonomy. Israel is accused of using the situation to advance security plans extending into southern Syria while showing little interest in honoring the recently signed framework agreement. U.S. disengagement compounds the uncertainty as Lebanon confronts the consequences of Iranian–Israeli dynamics and internal political decay.

Links Morocco’s World Cup successes to a broader national transformation driven by Mohammed VI’s long‑term strategy focused on development, poverty reduction, and regional integration. Highlights major infrastructure achievements, expanding influence in Africa, and consolidation of sovereignty in Western Sahara following UN Security Council Resolution 2797 and continued US and European support. Emphasizes social reforms, political stability, and responsiveness to public demands, presenting Morocco as a modernizing state progressing with clear direction and regional significance.

Argues that calls to thank Iran reflect subservience rather than gratitude, asserting that Iranian involvement has undermined Lebanese institutions, empowered Hezbollah, and contributed to Israeli occupation in the south. Describes Iran’s use of Lebanon as a bargaining chip in negotiations with the United States while avoiding major strategic concessions. Highlights long-term damage from Iranian and Syrian influence and contends that true benefit to Lebanon would require Hezbollah disarming and Iran ending its regional project. Emphasizes that Lebanese citizens, particularly in the south, will eventually confront the consequences of being drawn into conflicts that have devastated their communities.

Iran’s influence in Lebanon is framed as a strategic tool for regional bargaining, allowing Tehran to pressure the United States and Gulf states while maintaining leverage through Hezbollah. The text argues that Iran’s broader regional strategy relies on accumulating negotiating assets and exerting control, leading to distrust among Gulf states and contributing to ongoing instability. U.S. policy since 2003 is described as enabling Iran’s expansion, particularly in Iraq and Lebanon. Concerns are raised about potential future agreements between Washington and Tehran and their impact on Gulf security and Lebanon’s sovereignty.

Trump’s handling of Iran faces renewed scrutiny amid a US-mediated Lebanese-Israeli agreement that tests his willingness to confront Tehran’s regional strategy. Concerns rise over the administration’s signals toward a possible understanding with Iran despite continued attacks on Gulf states and persistent expansionist behavior. Past US approaches under Obama are criticized for accommodating Iran, while Trump’s earlier actions, including withdrawing from the nuclear deal and authorizing the killing of Qassem Soleimani, are highlighted as evidence of a stronger grasp of Iranian dynamics. The coming weeks are framed as decisive in determining whether Trump will resist Iranian maneuvering or fall into a strategic trap that separates nuclear, missile and regional issues instead of addressing them as one interconnected challenge.

Abdrabbuh Mansour Hadi is portrayed as an underqualified military figure whose leadership failures deepened Yemen’s political collapse and enabled the Houthi takeover. His inability to manage the military, refusal to heed warnings about Houthi advances, and pursuit of political revenge against Ali Abdullah Saleh contributed to the dismantling of state institutions. The analysis argues that foreign and domestic actors eventually recognized his ineffectiveness, leading to the formation of the Presidential Leadership Council under Rashad al‑Alimi. Broader Yemeni political rivalries, including those involving the Muslim Brotherhood and southern leaders, are depicted as compounding the crisis and leaving Yemen without the capable leadership it needed during a critical period.

The text argues that Hezbollah’s refusal to negotiate with Israel and its continued use of arms has resulted in expanded Israeli occupation, widespread destruction, and mass displacement in southern Lebanon. It asserts that the only path to restoring stability is through direct negotiations enabling the return of displaced civilians. The commentary criticizes Iran’s influence, claiming Hezbollah’s actions serve Israeli interests by justifying greater military intervention, while undermining Lebanon’s sovereignty and internal stability. It concludes that Hezbollah’s weaponry has consistently weakened Lebanon from within and now threatens the country’s future.

Iran is depicted as attempting to portray a defeat as a victory while avoiding the consequences of an ongoing war that has shifted onto its own territory. Its temporary success in closing the Strait of Hormuz is described as limited and insufficient to alter broader strategic realities, including mounting U.S. pressure and regional distrust following the October 7 attacks. The article argues that Iran’s regional influence through proxy groups is weakening and that Gulf states have abandoned past hesitation in confronting what they view as Iranian threats. It concludes that Iran’s leadership refuses to acknowledge a new regional landscape in which its position has deteriorated and its attempts to frame setbacks as victories are unsustainable.

Iran, weakened militarily and losing influence in Lebanon, now relies heavily on Nabih Berri as its remaining political asset after losing the support of Michel Aoun and Gebran Bassil. Despite Israel’s continued military operations in southern Lebanon and the collapse of Hezbollah’s strategy following major losses, Iranian officials insist on framing ceasefire developments as part of their negotiations with the United States. Lebanon faces mounting instability, widespread displacement in the south, and increasing pressure to disarm Hezbollah and seek security arrangements with Israel. Berri’s alignment with Iranian positions is portrayed as undermining the emerging national stance represented by Joseph Aoun and Nawaf Salam, while Israel expands its control and Iran’s regional posture falters.

The text argues that Iran continues to exert undue control over Lebanon, highlighted by a public commemoration of Ali Khamenei in Beirut attended by the Iranian ambassador despite being declared unwelcome by the Lebanese government. It frames the event as evidence of Iran’s refusal to accept Lebanon’s attempts to distance itself from Iranian influence and recounts historical milestones of Iranian intervention, including the Revolutionary Guard’s arrival in 1982, attacks on American targets, and the rise of Hezbollah. It contends that Iran’s regional setbacks have heightened its reliance on Lebanon and that its current behavior reflects an inability to accept diminishing power. The article concludes that Iran can no longer sustain its strategy and that Lebanon has the potential to reassert sovereignty despite past domination.

Lebanese sovereignty is depicted as eroded to the point where official decisions can be ignored without consequence as Iran, through Hezbollah, exerts decisive influence over state authority. Gulf states view the situation as part of a broader regional pattern of fragmented decision-making, while international actors, including the United Nations, respond with ineffectual statements. The piece argues that Lebanon has become a model of political decay in which the state no longer controls its own decisions.

Iran’s use of the Houthis as a regional proxy offers little strategic value and instead deepens Yemen’s suffering while escalating tensions in the Red Sea. The delayed Houthi entry into the broader Iran–US–Israel confrontation reflects Tehran’s weakened position and reliance on destabilizing pressure points such as Bab al-Mandab. Regional and international actors, now more willing to confront the group, may reconsider military options including reopening the Hodeidah front. Iran’s growing desperation, driven by its Revolutionary Guard–dominated leadership, risks dragging Yemen into further devastation as it seeks bargaining leverage in future negotiations.

Hezbollah’s renewed confrontation with Israel is depicted as an Iranian-driven move that has brought widespread displacement and deepened Lebanon’s crisis. The group is portrayed as dependent on the existence of conflict with Israel and as using its weapons to dominate the state and other sects. Iranian Revolutionary Guard control over Hezbollah is emphasized, with the recent escalation linked to direct Iranian orders. The author argues that meaningful change requires an internal Shia shift against Hezbollah’s influence, urging leaders such as those within the Amal Movement to break from Iran’s agenda. The piece concludes that Lebanon’s stability depends on restoring state authority and rejecting the destructive path imposed by Tehran and its proxies.

Argues that Sudan cannot escape its worsening crisis without removing both Abdel Fattah al‑Burhan and Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo from the political scene, as neither is capable of building a functioning state or accepting a civilian transition. Highlights the long history of military failure in Sudan, criticizes the legacy of Omar al‑Bashir and the influence of Islamist politics, and supports international calls, including from the UN Human Rights Council and the UAE, for a transitional civilian government. Warns that continued fighting risks state fragmentation and emphasizes the need for a new political approach free from the ambitions of the two generals.

Post‑election dynamics in Iraq point to the political decline of Mohammed Shia’ Al‑Sudani, whose bloc lacks cohesion and is dominated by rival Shiite factions aligned with the Coordination Framework. Negotiations to form a new government are expected to be lengthy, with Sunni and Kurdish groups likely to coordinate directly with the Framework rather than with Al‑Sudani. Internal Shiite competition, particularly involving Nouri Al‑Maliki and Qais Al‑Khazali, shapes the search for a new prime minister, with intelligence chief Hamid Al‑Shatri emerging as a leading possibility despite political objections. Iraq’s trajectory is influenced by Iran’s internal pressures and its pursuit of a potential deal with the United States, raising questions about the future scope of Iranian influence in Baghdad and the stability of the post‑2003 political system.

A presidential pardon for writer Boualem Sansal is portrayed as a politically motivated Algerian maneuver aimed at repairing relations with Europe while avoiding acknowledgement of its setback over the Western Sahara issue. The text argues that UN Security Council Resolution 2797 affirmed Morocco’s sovereignty claims, placing Algeria under pressure and undermining its long‑standing support for the Polisario Front. It links Sansal’s imprisonment to deteriorating French‑Algerian relations and highlights shifting European and U.S. positions favoring Morocco. The author contends that Algeria continues to resist political reality and suggests that only direct engagement with Morocco could lead to meaningful regional reconciliation.

International momentum toward recognizing a Palestinian state is increasing despite U.S. and Israeli opposition. Historical failures, including Arab political missteps and internal Palestinian divisions, are cited as factors that enabled Israel’s territorial expansion. Regional states such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Jordan and Egypt are pushing a diplomatic path toward a two‑state solution with French support. Britain’s recognition of Palestine is framed as a significant shift from its 1917 Balfour commitments. The commentary stresses that achieving statehood requires preventing Israel from exploiting Hamas’s actions and avoiding past strategic errors that weakened the Palestinian cause.