مهرنوش پورضیایی

Donald Trump has shifted from threatening a major military escalation against Iran to relying on economic pressure, sanctions, and a naval blockade. American media analyses describe the policy as inconsistent and driven partly by fears of rising U.S. casualties, domestic political backlash, and the approaching midterm elections. Economic pressure is hurting Iran, with projections of contraction, high food inflation, and reduced oil exports, but the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked or restricted, worsening global energy risks and raising fuel prices in the United States. Gulf states may accept continued Iranian influence over the strait to avoid renewed war, while analysts question whether Iran or the United States can sustain the greater pain. The crisis remains unresolved, with no clear prospect of a near-term end.