سعید جعفری

Intensifying Iran–US tensions stem from conflicting interpretations of their recent agreement on the Strait of Hormuz, Lebanon, and post‑war regional arrangements. Both sides treat the 60‑day implementation period as a competition to strengthen negotiating leverage, leading to renewed military incidents, disputes over shipping routes, and disagreements about Lebanon’s political future. Gulf states, Israel, and US regional partners fear Iran gaining strategic advantage, while Washington seeks to limit Tehran’s influence through alternative maritime corridors and conditional economic incentives. Escalating reciprocal actions risk a cycle of miscalculation as each side views its moves as defensive, preventing a stable peace despite the nominal end of open conflict.