Shushay Adane

In this exclusive and unflinching interview, Professor Kjetil Tronvoll — renowned scholar of the Horn of Africa — offers a sobering analysis of the atrocities committed during the eight-month genocidal war on Tigray, describing the scale and intent of what many have called genocide. He speaks directly to the international community, urging accountability. The conversation then turns to the present condition of Tigray: its fractured governance, humanitarian challenges and uncertain political trajectory. Tronvoll weighs the roles of key actors — Isaias Afwerki, Abiy Ahmed, and the TPLF leadership — in shaping the crisis and reflects on the party’s post-war decisions, internal divisions and shifting power dynamics. The abandoned initiatives under Getachew Reda and what they reveal about TPLF’s evolving leadership

1️⃣ Abiy Ahmed’s Shifting Stance on Eritrea From *denial* of Eritrean involvement in Tigray, to *gratitude**, to **dismissal post-Pretoria* and now *direct accusations of occupation* — Abiy’s reversals Vs credibility### 2️⃣ Recasting the Tigray War Narrative Abiy’s February 2026 claim reframes the conflict as Eritrea’s entry into Adigrat and Shire — not Red Sea ambitions. Is this a calculated move to redirect blame for atrocities toward Eritrea? ### 3️⃣ #ENDF Mobilization in the North Is Ethiopia preparing for another confrontation?Voices like *Jawar Mohammed* warn of multi-front instability if war breaks out. ### 4️⃣ Risk of Multi-Front Collapse With troops pulled north: - #Oromia and Amhara risk destabilization ### 5️⃣ Sudan War & Gulf Proxy Axes The Horn is now entangled in #Gulf rivalries:

Interview Highlights: Professor #Alex de Waal on the fifth year anniversary of the genocidal war on Tigray and third year anniversary of the Pretoria peace agreement. Some of the top questions explored in this powerful conversation include: .reflects on the evolving dynamics of the Tigray conflict and the roles played by key actors. *Why did Professor de Waal shift from defending to condemning the TPLF?* What changed in his assessment? **What strategic motives might explain the TPLF’s alleged role in dividing and demoralizing Tigrayans? **What missed diplomatic opportunities could have prevented the war in 2020? **How did the TPLF squander its chances for redemption, and what does this mean for its legacy? **What evidence supports claims of Tigrayan generals collaborating in illicit activities with external actors?

In this gripping interview, #MartinPlaut — renowned journalist, author and Horn of Africa specialist — unpacks the volatile dynamics shaping Ethiopia, Eritrea, and the broader region. From smuggled gold and shifting alliances to Abiy Ahmed’s Red Sea ambitions and the enigmatic role of President Isaias Afwerki, Plaut offers sharp insights into the region’s most pressing geopolitical fault lines. Key Topics Covered: • Abiy Ahmed’s controversial strategy and naval ambitions in the Red Sea • Tigrayan experiences in Eritrea and the legacy of ethnic federalism • Isaias Afwerki’s manipulation tactics and regional influence • Smuggling networks, including gold routed through Sudan and Eritrea • The dramatic shift in TPLF-PFDJ relations and the Ximdo engagement initiative • Disarmament and survival politics within TPLF post-Pretoria Agreement • Accountability and fragmentation in the Pretoria Agreement’s implementation • The Prosperity Party’s role in managing ethnic federalism • The rise of Fa

ኩልና ክንሕተተላ ኢና እዚኣ፣ ህወሓት ሕዚ እዉን ተረዲኡዎ ስለ ምዃኑ ርግፀኛ ኣይኮንኩን፣ ስኽታ ንህዝቢ ከም ደስ ዝበለካ ክትገብሮ ትኽእል ኢኻ ዝብል፣ ሕዚ እዉን ካብ ኢትዮጵያ ተስፋ ናይ ምፅባይ ሕልሚ ዘይተላቐቐ፣እቲ ፅንተት ክነትርፎ ንኽእል ኔርና ኢና! ኣብ ስልጣን ኮፍ ክትብል ከለኻ ዝምችወካ ነገር ኣሎ፣ ሕነ ኣይንፈድን፣ ሽጣራ ብምፅዋት እዉን ናብ ወንበር ይምፃእ እዩ፣ መንእሰይ መሪሕ ዝኸዉን እዚኣ ምስ ዝምልስ እዩ።

ሳሞራ ተዋሪዱ እዩ፣ ዝተዋረደ ሰብ ብዛዕባ ዉርደት ክዛረብ.... ፣ሰራዊት ትግራይ ፖለቲካዊ ዕላማ ኣለዎ። ስለዚ ኣብ ፖለቲካ ኣየእትወካን ክትብል ኣይትኽእልን፣ሳሞራ ንናይ TDF ጀነራላት ከምዙይ ግበሩ ኣይትግበሩ ኢሉ ሌክቸር ክገብር ምንም ዓይነት ናይ ሞራል ግራዉንድ የብሉን፣ 14 ግዜ ኢና ኣብ UN ናይ ትግራይ ኣጀንዳ ኣትሒዝና፣ ጉተሬዝ ብጣዕሚ ዝበደለና ዋና ፀሓፊ እዩ፣ ፖለቲካና ብምብልሻዉ ወታደራዊን ዲፕሎማሲያዊን ዓወትና እዉን ሓመድ በሊዑዎ፣ ፕሪቶሪያ ናይ ሰራዊትን ናይ ዲፕሎማስን ዉፅኢት እዩ። ግዝያዊ መንግስቲ ምስ መስረትና ሰብሲቡ ብዛዕባ ዲፕሎማሲ ዘማኸረና የለን፣#

መለስ ምስ ሞተ ህወሓት ንቐዳማይ ሚኒስቴር ሰብ ኣምፁ ተባሂሎም ንሶም ግን የብልናን ኢሎም። ሽዑ ግን ስዩም መስፍን፣ ኣባይ ፀሃየ፣ ዶ/ር ቴድሮስ ኣድሓኖምን ካልኦትን ኔሮም እዮም።

ዓብዪ ኣሕመድ ኣብ ልዕሊ ትግራይ ጄኖሳይድ ፈፂሙ እዩ። መሃንዲስ ናይዚ ጄኖሳይድ ግን ሻዕቢያ እዩ። ሻዕቢያ ቅድሚ ሕዚ ብልፅግና ኣብ ዜብሉ ጄኖሳይድ ፈፂሙልና እዩ። # ፅምዶ : ካብ ዘላቒ ረብሓን ሃላዋትን ህዝቢ ትግራይ ኣንፃር፣ ብደቡብን ብሰሜንን ዘለዉ ፀመድትን ተፀመድትን ኣፈላላዮም እንታይ እዩ? # ፕረዚደንት ኢሳያስን ቀዳማይ ሚኒስተር ዓብዪ ኣሕመድን ድንገት ተዝዕረቑ ዕጫ ትግራይን ተጋሩን ብጠቕላላ፣ ዕጫ እቶም ብደቡብን ብሰሜንን ተፀሚዶም ዘለዉ ተጋሩ ድማ ብፍላይ እንታይ ክኾን ይኽእል? መሪሕነት ትግራይከ ነዙይ ኣብ ግምት ዘእተወ ምድላው ካብ ምግባር ኣንፃር እንታይ ይመስል?. # ህወሓት ኩሉ ግዜ ቅድሚ ህልዉና ህዝቢ ዝሓስበን ስልጣኑ፣ ናይ ትእምት ጥቕማጥቕሚ፣ ገንዘብን ህልዉንኡን እየን.. # ዳያስፖራ ትግራይ ካብቲ ኣብቲ ቅሉዕ ፅንተታዊ ኲናት ዝነበሮ ኣንፃር ሕዚ ኣብ ምንታይ ኩነታት ይርከብ # ሕዚ GSTS challenge ናይ ምግባር ለውጢ ኣምፂኡ ኣሎ።

ቀፂሉ ናብ ዉድቢዝም ኣሰጋጊሩዋ፣ ማንም ቸቸ ክብለካ ዝፈቅድ ባህልን ኣተሓሳስባን ተጋሩ፣ካብ 9 ስራሕ ፈፃሚት ህወሓት 'ቶም 8 ናብ ኣዲስ ኣበባ ከይዶም፣ ሙሁራት ተጋሩ ዓዶም ከየልምዑ ተጌሩ፣